NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Goffertstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

NEC Nijmegen host Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. NEC Nijmegen have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 12 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, NEC Nijmegen have one win, five draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 0.89 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.89.

Four of Omonia Nicosia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Omonia Nicosia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Omonia Nicosia have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00.

NEC Nijmegen (20th) and Omonia Nicosia (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (3-4-2-1): G. Crettaz, D. Fonville, P. Schuurs, A. Kaplan, D. Nejašmić, C. Bischoff, N. Lebreton, K. Kers, J. Monteiro, D. Geiger, B. Linssen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.7 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Tjaronn Chery (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1265 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Tjaronn Chery averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1650 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Omonia Nicosia XI (4-3-3): Fabiano, J. Balkovec, J. Duverne, Ľ. Šatka, S. Coulibaly, M. Marić, P. Andreou, J. Montnor, L. Diony, A. Kakoullis, F. Tănase — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fabiano (4.5 per match over four appearances) and Jaden Montnor (4.2 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Omonia Nicosia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Omonia Nicosia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fabiano averages 2.5 saves per 90 over 660 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last seven appearances. Jaden Montnor averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 273 minutes, with a shot in two of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Goffertstadion
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L · Omonia Nicosia 3W 0D 2L

NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 3.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 6.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.13 / 4.83
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.25 / 1.33
Cards
against 1.63 / 3.33 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNEC Nijmegen for / againstLineOmonia Nicosia for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 6.17 against n 6
Shots
15.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
9.83 for · 14.33 against n 6
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.83 for · 4.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.67 for · 14.17 against n 6
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.33 for · 3.33 against n 6

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz1186945 min272.6 /90111 /9000 /90
N. Polster580400 min184.1 /9081.8 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 884.4
2.74/3
N. Polster n 580
4.14/3

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Storm13851099 min231.9 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90625.1 /90191.6 /9030.2 /90
Deveron Fonville1078777 min192.2 /90161.9 /9030.3 /90576.6 /90101.2 /9000 /90
P. Schuurs755386 min92.1 /90102.3 /9020.5 /90143.3 /9051.2 /9000 /90
Gabriel Brás575374 min112.6 /9051.2 /9000 /90225.3 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar559297 min82.4 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90226.7 /9092.7 /9020.6 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 882.6
1.46/3
27/5
—
B. Linssen n 879.1
1.66/4
0.32/0
—
T. Storm n 883.6
1.37/2
0.85/1
—
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
0.63/1
—
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.85/1
1.16/3
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
2.56/3
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.11/0
T. Storm n 883.6
1.97/4
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
D. Nejašmić n 890
2.68/6
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Linssen14741033 min10.1 /9010.1 /90201.7 /9070.6 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
T. Chery13831082 min60.5 /9010.1 /90292.4 /90171.4 /90262.2 /9050.4 /90
Dušan Tadić1179872 min00 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90181.9 /9040.4 /90
Adam Tahaui745316 min10.3 /9000 /9041.1 /9010.3 /9072 /9030.9 /90
K. Sierhuis648290 min10.3 /9000 /90134 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
1.86/3
0.74/1
B. Linssen n 879.1
2.16/4
0.64/0
T. Storm n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
2.37/6
1.16/2
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Storm n 883.6
00/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
D. Nejašmić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Omonia Nicosia

Omonia Nicosia Goalkeeper

Omonia Nicosia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Fabiano390270 min134.3 /90–00 /90
Omonia Nicosia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabiano n 890
4.17/6

Omonia Nicosia Defensive

Omonia Nicosia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Balkovec390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Duverne390270 min41.3 /9082.7 /9000 /9093 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Ľ. Šatka390270 min00 /9062 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /90
S. Coulibaly290179 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
L. Négo19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
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Omonia Nicosia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Marić n 883.5
0.94/1
0.85/1
—
J. Balkovec n 590
0.42/0
0.83/1
—
J. Duverne n 390
0.31/0
11/1
—
Ľ. Šatka n 390
0.31/0
00/0
—
Fabiano n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
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Omonia Nicosia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Marić n 883.5
1.65/3
J. Duverne n 390
1.32/1
J. Balkovec n 590
0.41/1
Ľ. Šatka n 390
00/0
P. Andreou n 787.1
1.64/4
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Omonia Nicosia Attacking

Omonia Nicosia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Diony358173 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Kakoullis33297 min10.9 /9000 /9021.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9010.9 /90
M. Mayambela22244 min00 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
M. Marić390270 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9031 /9020.7 /90
P. Andreou387261 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Omonia Nicosia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Balkovec n 590
0.62/1
0.21/0
M. Marić n 883.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Duverne n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
Ľ. Šatka n 390
0.31/0
00/0
Fabiano n 890
00/0
00/0
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Omonia Nicosia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Omonia Nicosia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Duverne n 390
00/0
0.31/0
J. Balkovec n 590
0.21/0
00/0
Fabiano n 890
00/0
00/0
Ľ. Šatka n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Marić n 883.5
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEC NijmegenDDDWD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Omonia NicosiaLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
NEC Nijmegen#20 pos4 pts3 pl-3 GD
Omonia Nicosia#11 pos6 pts3 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
NEC Nijmegen scored1.67
Omonia Nicosia scored1.67
NEC Nijmegen conceded2.67
Omonia Nicosia conceded1.33

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Omonia Nicosia?
Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L; Omonia Nicosia 3W 0D 2L.

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