OFI v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

UEFA Europa League · · Pankritio Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for OFI v Bayer Leverkusen, UEFA Europa League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

OFI host Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is OFI or Bayer Leverkusen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of OFI’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of OFI’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, OFI have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.63.

10 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50.

OFI are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. OFI (18th) and Bayer Leverkusen (second) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 319 rating points above OFI (Bayer Leverkusen 2022, OFI 1702, after at least five rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted OFI XI (3-4-3): N. Christogeorgos, K. Krizmanic, A. Poungouras, D. Nikolaou, A. Androutsos, N. Athanasiou, L. Dickmann, A. Bouchalakis, K. Kodro, T. Nuss, T. Fountas — derived from the last 4 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nikos Christogeorgos (5.2 per match over nine appearances) and Nicolaos Athanasiou (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) have been OFI’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for OFI (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nikos Christogeorgos averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 766 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last nine appearances. Nicolaos Athanasiou averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 706 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-4-2): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, L. Badé, L. Vázquez, F. Medina, A. García, M. Tillman, E. Fernández, R. Andrich, P. Schick, I. Maza — derived from the last 2 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.8 per match over nine appearances, eight goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.3 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 767 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1120 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Europa League · Pankritio Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: OFI 2W 1D 2L · Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 0L

OFI v Bayer Leverkusen (UEFA Europa League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 3
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 6.75
Corners
against 7.38 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOFI for / againstLineBayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
3 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 7.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
7.5 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
20.5 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 16.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
OFI
OFI — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Theodosoulakis n 822.8
35/1
1.53/0
—
T. Nuss n 860.4
2.47/4
3.48/7
—
A. Bouchalakis n 871.9
1.96/4
1.14/3
—
A. Leya Iseka n 842.8
1.84/3
1.34/1
—
T. Fountas n 859.3
1.77/1
1.54/2
—
OFI — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Fountas n 859.3
1.96/3
0.63/0
Aitor Cantalapiedra n 848.4
1.64/2
0.52/0
Borja González n 828.8
1.64/0
0.41/0
T. Chatzigiovanis n 833.1
1.43/1
12/1
I. Apostolakis n 844.1
1.33/2
0.52/0
OFI — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Kodro n 863.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
N. Athanasiou n 879.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Bouchalakis n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Borja González n 828.8
00/0
0.41/0
I. Apostolakis n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
OFI — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kanellopoulos n 852.3
2.87/4
N. Athanasiou n 879.5
2.46/5
A. Androutsos n 869.6
2.36/4
I. Apostolakis n 844.1
2.33/3
Borja González n 828.8
23/2
OFI — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Christogeorgos n 890
4.16/6
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Tillman n 855.9
3.28/5
1.45/2
—
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.25/3
1.42/1
—
Lucas Vázquez n 838.5
1.84/2
2.64/2
—
I. Maza n 885.5
1.77/3
1.16/2
—
G. Doué n 871.8
1.77/3
1.34/3
—
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Boniface n 831.8
4.66/4
2.15/1
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.96/4
1.43/1
P. Schick n 867.5
3.88/7
27/4
Afonso Moreira n 868.5
2.67/5
1.55/3
N. Tella n 860.4
2.66/3
1.76/2
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schick n 867.5
1.37/1
0.21/0
Christian Kofane n 831.9
1.13/0
0.41/0
N. Tella n 860.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Tillman n 855.9
0.63/0
0.21/0
I. Maza n 885.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Palacios n 862
3.47/5
E. Fernández n 851.5
3.16/3
L. Badé n 865
2.47/4
E. Ben Seghir n 814.5
2.32/1
G. Doué n 871.8
26/3
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Blaswich n 890
4.56/6
M. Flekken n 881.6
2.25/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind OFI v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OFIWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bayer LeverkusenDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
OFI#18 pos3 pts2 pl+1 GD
Bayer Leverkusen#2 pos6 pts2 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
OFI scored1.5
Bayer Leverkusen scored3
OFI conceded1
Bayer Leverkusen conceded0

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win OFI v Bayer Leverkusen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for OFI v Bayer Leverkusen is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of OFI and Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent form — OFI 2W 1D 2L; Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 0L.

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