Belarus v Finland result

Full-time · Belarus 1–0 Finland

UEFA Nations League · · Illovszky Rudolf Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Belarus · Finland

Belarus 1–0 Finland — Belarus won this UEFA Nations League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

The numbers

Belarus 1–0 Finland (UEFA Nations League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 10 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
2.6 / 5.75
Corners
against 5.8 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.8 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 3.2 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 0.88
Cards
against 2.2 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBelarus for / againstLineFinland for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
2our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.6 for · 5.8 against n 5
9.5standard
5.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
7.8 for · 10.4 against n 5
19.5standard
12 for · 11.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.8 for · 3.2 against n 5
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.8 for · 14.8 against n 5
21.5standard
12.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.4 for · 2.2 against n 5
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Sascha Stegemann.

Belarus
Belarus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Evgeni Malashevich n 565.2
2.84/4
1.74/2
—
E. Yablonskiy n 865.1
2.85/4
0.95/0
—
A. Selyava n 858.6
2.78/4
0.42/0
A. Marhiev
G. Barkovskiy n 845.1
2.58/1
37/3
—
R. Begunov n 681.7
2.46/3
1.34/3
—
Belarus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Barkovskiy n 845.1
2.74/3
13/1
Trofim Melnichenko n 844.9
2.36/2
0.52/0
V. Malkevich n 751.6
1.52/1
0.21/0
Nikita Demchenko n 868.9
1.14/2
0.73/1
A. Kontsevoy n 750
12/2
0.82/1
Belarus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Kontsevoy n 750
0.82/1
00/0
K. Pechenin n 890
00/0
0.52/1
Nikita Demchenko n 868.9
0.21/0
00/0
V. Gromyko n 856.4
00/0
0.21/0
V. Malkevich n 751.6
0.21/0
00/0
Belarus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Pechenin n 890
3.18/6
V. Kalinin n 868
2.66/3
Z. Volkov n 882.9
2.46/4
Nikita Demchenko n 868.9
26/4
A. Kontsevoy n 750
1.54/2
Belarus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fedor Lapoukhov n 890
3.87/5
P. Pavlyuchenko n 490
3.23/2
Finland
Finland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Mahuta n 454.3
3.33/1
0.82/0
—
Santeri Väänänen n 823.8
2.83/2
2.85/1
—
Kaan Kairinen n 865.6
2.76/3
00/0
—
A. Marhiev n 885
2.47/5
2.87/7
A. Selyava
R. Lod n 850.6
2.26/3
1.65/2
—
Finland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Anssi Suhonen n 843.9
2.36/2
0.51/1
L. Walta n 860.5
2.26/3
1.53/3
B. Källman n 837.5
2.14/2
1.23/1
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.1
27/2
1.44/2
T. Keskinen n 873.3
1.75/2
0.83/1
Finland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Pohjanpalo n 874.1
0.93/2
0.21/0
L. Walta n 860.5
0.93/2
0.21/0
Adrian Svanback n 874.6
0.32/0
0.63/1
A. Marhiev n 885
0.42/1
0.32/0
B. Källman n 837.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Finland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Mahuta n 454.3
4.12/2
Santeri Väänänen n 823.8
3.84/3
Anssi Suhonen n 843.9
3.36/5
A. Marhiev n 885
2.47/5
Kaan Kairinen n 865.6
2.47/4
Finland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.88/6
J. Joronen n 865.8
3.44/4

The model’s pre-match pick

The TACTIX model has priced Belarus vs Finland across 246 betting markets. The model’s pre-match pick for this fixture:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.50 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65% of 626 landed (95% range 61.2–68.7%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BelarusFinland
26%Possession74%
6Shots14
2Shots on target2
1Shots off target6
3Blocked shots6
2Shots inside the box8
1Corners5
0Offsides1
17Fouls11
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
228Passes644

Belarus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fedor Lapoukhov9000000006.8
Z. Volkov9000110207
K. Pechenin90001003Y6.3
Anton Lukashov9000001106.4
V. Kalinin9000000106.4
K. Gomanov9000000106.8
M. Ebong9000200106
A. Selyava8400000106.3
G. Barkovskiy62010010Y6.2
Vitali Lisakovich4500001006.5
Anton Kovalev4500000006.7
A. Shumansky45101102Y7.6
Valery Bocherov45000001Y6.1
Trofim Melnichenko2800100006.5
E. Yablonskiy600000006.6

Finland player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Walta9000203106.6
M. Tenho9000101207.4
S. Miettinen90000002Y6.1
A. Marhiev9000201206.9
T. Keskinen9000300005.8
L. Hrádecký9000000006.9
R. Mahuta7400000106.5
Matti Peltola6700110206.8
J. Lahteenmaki6700002105.9
O. Valakari5800001006.2
Adrian Svanback5800100006
O. Jukkola3200210106.4
J. Pohjanpalo3200100006.4
B. Källman23000000Y6
Santeri Väänänen2300100006.4
D. Håkans1600000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Belarus v Finland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BelarusWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
FinlandLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Belarus 0 · 1 draw · Finland 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-09-29 Finland 0–0 Belarus
  • 2018-06-09 Finland 2–0 Belarus
League standing · 2026/27
Belarus#2 pos7 pts4 pl+3 GD
Finland#3 pos7 pts4 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Belarus scored1.25
Finland scored2.25
Belarus conceded0.5
Finland conceded0.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Belarus vs Finland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Belarus vs Finland was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Belarus and Finland?
In their last 2 meetings, Belarus won 0, Finland won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Belarus and Finland?
Recent form — Belarus 2W 2D 1L; Finland 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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