Kazakhstan v Wales result
Team pages: Kazakhstan · Wales
The model’s pre-match pick
Kazakhstan 0–1 Wales — Wales won this World Cup - Qualification Europe match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
The result
Wales won 1–0 at Kazakhstan in World Cup - Qualification Europe on Thursday 4 September. Wales have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Wales led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Wales: Kieffer Moore (24’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kieffer Moore’s goal on 24 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Kazakhstan 0.89, Wales 2.35, from 14 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain showed two yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Kazakhstan: S. Maliy (80’); Wales: Neco Williams (90+1’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Karl Darlow (Wales) 4.3, Kieffer Moore (Wales) 4.3 and N. Alip (Kazakhstan) 3.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Wales to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.
Next up
Kazakhstan next travel to Moldova on 13 November 2026.
Wales next travel to Norway on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Kazakhstan: Moldova v Kazakhstan, Friday 13 November — the preview. Next for Wales: Norway v Wales, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Kazakhstan 0–1 Wales · World Cup - Qualification Europe
- Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Kazakhstan 0 · draws 0 · Wales 1 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Kazakhstan 1W 0D 4L · Wales 3W 1D 1L
Kazakhstan 0–1 Wales (World Cup - Qualification Europe): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Kazakhstan | Wales | |
|---|---|---|
| 32% | Possession | 68% |
| 0.89 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.35 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 262 | Passes | 575 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 90% |
Kazakhstan player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anarbekov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Kasym | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Maliy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| B. Kairov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Damir Kasabulat | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Vorogovskiy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Satpaev | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Orazov | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Samorodov | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Alip | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| G. Kenzhebek | 65 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| I. Chesnokov sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Muzhikov sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Zhumat sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| U. Zhaksybayev sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Omirtaev sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Wales player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Darlow | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7 |
| D. Lawlor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Davies | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| H. Wilson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Sheehan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Mepham | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Cullen | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Thomas | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Johnson | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Moore | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| D. James sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Harris sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Brooks sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. James sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| B. Cabango sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Kazakhstan v Wales — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-22 Wales 3–1 Kazakhstan
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Kazakhstan v Wales?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Kazakhstan v Wales was Away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Kazakhstan and Wales?
- In their last 1 meetings, Kazakhstan won 0, Wales won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Kazakhstan and Wales?
- Recent form — Kazakhstan 1W 0D 4L; Wales 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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