Moldova v Kazakhstan prediction

UEFA Nations League · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · Stadionul Zimbru

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 01:59 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Moldova v Kazakhstan, UEFA Nations League on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.45 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Moldova host Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Moldova or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Kazakhstan have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Kazakhstan are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Moldova’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Moldova’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Moldova have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.71.

Seven of Kazakhstan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Kazakhstan’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Kazakhstan have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 2.57.

Moldova (third) and Kazakhstan (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Moldova the stronger side, 118 rating points above Kazakhstan (Moldova 1338, Kazakhstan 1220, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova.

Team news

Predicted Moldova XI (5-3-2): D. Celeadnic, M. Gherasimencov, I. Iovu, V. Baboglo, O. Reabciuk, I. Revenco, V. Fratea, V. Raţă, S. Perciun, P. Popescu, N. Cleșcenco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Perciun (4.8 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) and Petru Popescu (4.6 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Moldova’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moldova (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Perciun averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 557 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Petru Popescu averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Kazakhstan XI (4-2-3-1): T. Anarbekov, N. Alip, Y. Vorogovskiy, T. Erlanov, A. Mrynskiy, B. Islamkhan, I. Kuat, D. Karaman, M. Samorodov, G. Kenzhebek, Ramazan·Karimov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Alip (5.9 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Bauyrzhan Islamkhan (4.9 per match over three appearances, two assists) have been Kazakhstan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kazakhstan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Alip averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT · UEFA Nations League · Stadionul Zimbru
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Moldova 2 · draws 0 · Kazakhstan 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Moldova 1W 1D 3L · Kazakhstan 0W 3D 2L

Moldova v Kazakhstan (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 3.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.29 / 4.88

Corners

against 6.86 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.43 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 5.14 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 2.75

Cards

against 1.29 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Moldova for / against	Line	Kazakhstan for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.29 for · 6.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.29 for · 18.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.43 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.14 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5

Moldova

Moldova Goalkeeper

Moldova — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Celeadnic	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90

Moldova — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	1.3 2/0

Moldova Defensive

Moldova — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Iurie Iovu	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	194.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
Oleg Reabciuk	4	86345 min	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	195 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
Mihail Gherasimencov	4	82328 min	30.8 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90	133.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
V. Baboglo	4	71282 min	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	72.2 /90	82.6 /90	31 /90	00 /90
M. Stefan	3	1855 min	11.6 /90	46.5 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Moldova — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Petru Popescu n 4	90	2 3/2	1.5 3/2	—
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	1.3 2/2	0 0/0	—
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	1.8 5/5	2 8/4	—
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.2 1/0	1.6 4/4	—
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Moldova — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	1.8 3/2
Petru Popescu n 4	90	1 4/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	1.5 7/4
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.7 4/0
V. Baboglo n 8	80.3	1.4 6/3
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Moldova Attacking

Moldova — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Petru Popescu	4	90360 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	143.5 /90	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90
N. Cleșcenco	4	56224 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
V. Raţă	4	62248 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
V. Fratea	4	61244 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	31.1 /90	62.2 /90	83 /90
V. Stînă	4	41163 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.3 /90	31.7 /90
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Moldova — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Petru Popescu n 4	90	3.5 4/4	1.3 3/1
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Moldova — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moldova before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Petru Popescu n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Celeadnic n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iurie Iovu n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oleg Reabciuk n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mihail Gherasimencov n 6	84.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Goalkeeper

Kazakhstan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Stas Pokatilov	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	31.5 /90
Aleksandr Zarutskiy	1	9090 min	66 /90	22 /90
T. Anarbekov	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Kazakhstan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Stas Pokatilov n 4	90	3.8 4/3
T. Anarbekov n 3	90	4.7 3/2

Kazakhstan Defensive

Kazakhstan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Alip	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	41 /90	256.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
T. Erlanov	3	85254 min	31.1 /90	41.4 /90	31.1 /90	176 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Y. Vorogovskiy	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	166.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90
A. Mrynskiy	3	67201 min	52.2 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	73.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Z. Amir	3	46139 min	00 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	63.9 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Kazakhstan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Alip n 8	89	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.7 3/0	1 4/0	—
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.8 2/1	0.3 1/0	—
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	1.7 6/5	0.6 4/0	—
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	1.1 3/1	0.8 3/0	—
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Kazakhstan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	1.9 8/4
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	3.2 4/3
T. Erlanov n 4	86	1.3 3/2
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0.8 4/1
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	1.6 3/2
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Kazakhstan Attacking

Kazakhstan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ramazan·Karimov	3	65194 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
A. Shushenachev	3	52157 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Karaman	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
I. Kuat	3	84252 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan	3	83250 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	145 /90	00 /90
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Kazakhstan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	0.8 3/2	0.4 2/1
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.7 3/0	0.5 2/0
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Kazakhstan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kazakhstan before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Alip n 8	89	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Karaman n 5	73.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Erlanov n 4	86	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
I. Kuat n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan n 4	83	0 0/0	0.5 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Moldova v Kazakhstan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MoldovaLLDWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

KazakhstanDDLLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Moldova 2 · 0 draws · Kazakhstan 2 · 2 goals/game

2026-10-02 Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova
2022-03-29 Kazakhstan 0–1 Moldova
2022-03-24 Moldova 1–2 Kazakhstan
2019-02-21 Kazakhstan 1–0 Moldova

League standing · 2026/27

Moldova#3 pos4 pts4 pl-5 GD

Kazakhstan#4 pos2 pts4 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Moldova scored0.75

Kazakhstan scored1.25

Moldova conceded2

Kazakhstan conceded1.75

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Moldova v Kazakhstan?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Moldova v Kazakhstan is Home or Draw (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Moldova and Kazakhstan?: In their last 4 meetings, Moldova won 2, Kazakhstan won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Moldova and Kazakhstan?: Recent form — Moldova 1W 1D 3L; Kazakhstan 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 01:59 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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