Spain v Argentina result

Full-time · Spain 1–0 Argentina

World Cup · Sun, 19 Jul 2026 20:00 BST · MetLife Stadium

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Spain 1–0 Argentina — Spain won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Spain beat Argentina 1–0 at MetLife Stadium in the World Cup on Sunday 19 July. Spain are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Spain: Ferran Torres (106’, assisted by Nico Williams). Enzo Fernández (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ferran Torres’s goal on 106 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Spain 1.94, Argentina 0.22, from 20 shots to 2 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Argentina: Cristian Romero (-5’), Lisandro Martínez (41’), L. Paredes (52’), Enzo Fernández (83’), Enzo Fernández (90+3’) and Alexis Mac Allister (111’).

What it changes

Spain have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lamine Yamal (Spain) 6.1, Rodri (Spain) 5.4 and Nico Williams (Spain) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Spain or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1170 of 1553).

Next up

Spain next travel to Czechia on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Spain: Czechia v Spain, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Spain 1–0 Argentina · World Cup
Venue: MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford
Referee: Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Spain 1 · draws 0 · Argentina 0 · 7 goals/game
Recent form: Spain 5W 0D 0L · Argentina 5W 0D 0L

Spain 1–0 Argentina (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 2.75

Goals

against 0.25 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

6.43 / 4.88

Corners

against 2 / 2.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 1.43 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

0.86 / 1.38

Cards

against 2 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Spain for / against	Line	Argentina for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	2.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.14 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.88 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.43 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	0.86 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia.

Spain

Spain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Mikel Merino n 8	23.4	2.4 4/1	3.4 5/2	—
Gavi n 8	65	2.3 7/4	1.4 6/2	—
Lamine Yamal n 8	67.4	2.2 6/3	1.5 5/2	—
Marc Pubill n 8	65.9	2.2 5/4	0.9 3/2	—
Nico Williams n 8	33.9	2 2/2	1.3 4/0	—

Spain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ferran Torres n 8	33.8	3.7 7/4	1.3 3/1
Lamine Yamal n 8	67.4	3.3 6/5	1.8 5/4
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	69.5	3.2 7/5	1.8 6/2
Fabián Ruiz n 8	45.5	2.2 3/2	0.7 3/0
Alex Baena n 8	67.6	1.7 6/3	0.8 4/1

Spain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Mikel Oyarzabal n 8	69.5	0.8 3/2	0.2 1/0
Nico Williams n 8	33.9	0.7 1/1	0.3 1/0
Mikel Merino n 8	23.4	1 2/0	0 0/0
Borja Iglesias n 8	46.6	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
Dani Olmo n 8	58.1	0 0/0	0.6 3/0

Spain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marcos Llorente n 8	79	3.6 8/6
Gavi n 8	65	3.1 7/6
Rodri n 8	89.6	3 8/6
Marc Pubill n 8	65.9	2.6 7/5
Pedro Porro n 8	87.1	2.5 8/5

Spain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 8	90	1.4 3/1

Argentina

Argentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lautaro Martínez n 8	44.5	2.3 6/3	1.8 4/3	—
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60.9	2 6/2	0.2 1/0	—
A. Giay n 8	82.6	1.9 6/4	1.5 6/4	—
N. González n 8	33.4	1.7 4/1	1.3 3/1	—
Cristian Romero n 8	77.3	1.5 7/3	0.4 3/0	—

Argentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 8	80	4.1 7/6	2.7 7/4
Lautaro Martínez n 8	44.5	2.3 6/2	1 4/0
N. Paz n 8	66.8	2 6/4	0.8 3/1
Thiago Almada n 8	47.9	1.9 5/2	0.9 3/1
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60.9	1.7 4/3	1.1 3/2

Argentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 8	80	1.3 6/2	0.6 3/1
Lautaro Martínez n 8	44.5	0.8 3/0	0.3 1/0
N. Paz n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
G. Lo Celso n 8	50.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
E. Fernández n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Argentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Paz n 8	66.8	2.9 7/4
A. Mac Allister n 8	84.3	2.5 7/5
Giuliano Simeone n 8	60.9	2.4 7/4
E. Palacios n 8	83.3	2.3 6/5
G. Montiel n 8	39.9	2.3 3/2

Argentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 8	90	1.9 4/2
E. Martínez n 8	97.5	1.3 3/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Spain		Argentina
65%	Possession	35%
1.94	Expected goals (xG)	0.22
20	Shots	2
12	Shots on target	0
5	Shots off target	1
3	Blocked shots	1
9	Shots inside the box	1
9	Corners	4
4	Offsides	1
21	Fouls	25
0	Yellow cards	6
0	Red cards	1
0	Saves	11
852	Passes	463
89%	Pass accuracy	77%

Spain player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	120	0	0	1	1	1	2	8.3
Lamine Yamal	120	0	0	3	2	1	3	7.2
Pedro Porro	120	0	0	0	0	2	2	7.2
Unai Simón	120	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Marc Cucurella	120	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.9
Rodri	99	0	0	1	0	2	4	8.3
Aymeric Laporte	99	0	0	1	1	0	0	7
Alex Baena	75	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
Dani Olmo	75	0	0	1	1	1	0	7
Mikel Oyarzabal	62	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.6
Fabián Ruiz	62	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Pedri sub	58	0	0	1	1	4	2	7.5
Ferran Torres sub	58	1	0	3	2	0	0	7.2
Nico Williams sub	45	0	1	2	2	2	0	6.6
Mikel Merino sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	7.2
Martín Zubimendi sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	7
Eric García sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Argentina player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Mac Allister	120	0	0	2	Y	6.7
E. Martínez	120	0	0	0	0	9.7
N. Tagliafico	120	0	0	3	0	6.7
L. Messi	120	0	0	1	0	7.3
Julián Alvarez	102	0	0	1	0	6.5
E. Fernández	93	0	0	1	RY	5.9
Cristian Romero	70	0	0	1	Y	6.9
R. de Paul	70	0	0	0	0	6.5
G. Montiel	58	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. González	45	0	0	0	0	6.7
Lisandro Martínez	44	0	0	1	Y	6.6
N. Otamendi sub	76	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Paredes sub	75	0	0	1	Y	6.2
Nahuel Molina sub	62	0	0	3	0	6.6
Giuliano Simeone sub	50	1	1	2	0	6.3
F. Medina sub	50	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Senesi sub	18	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Spain v Argentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SpainWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

ArgentinaWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Spain 1 · 0 draws · Argentina 0 · 7 goals/game

2018-03-27 Spain 6–1 Argentina

League standing · 2026/27

Spain#1 pos7 pts3 pl+5 GD

Argentina#1 pos9 pts3 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Spain scored1.67

Argentina scored2.67

Spain conceded0

Argentina conceded0.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Spain v Argentina?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Spain v Argentina was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Spain and Argentina?: In their last 1 meetings, Spain won 1, Argentina won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 7 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Spain and Argentina?: Recent form — Spain 5W 0D 0L; Argentina 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.