CzechiaSpain

Czechia v Spain prediction

UEFA Nations League ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Czechia v Spain, UEFA Nations League on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 125 landed (95% range 78.4–90.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Czechia host Spain in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Spain to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Czechia are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Spain are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Spain have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Czechia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Czechia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Czechia have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.22.

10 of Spain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Spain’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Spain have six wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 0.50.

Czechia (fourth) and Spain (first) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Spain the stronger side, 581 rating points above Czechia (Spain 2075, Czechia 1494, after at least 26 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Spain are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Czechia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 3 October 2026, finished Spain 3–1 Czechia.

Team news

Predicted Czechia XI (4-4-2): M. Kovář, R. Hranáč, J. Sláma, L. Krejčí, Š. Chaloupek, M. Sadílek, A. Král, L. Červ, P. Šulc, A. Hložek, R. Naderi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jiří Sláma (3.3 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Vladimír Coufal (2.6 per match over five appearances, one assist) have been Czechia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Czechia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jiří Sláma averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 755 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances. Vladimír Coufal averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 1458 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Spain XI (4-2-3-1): U. Simón, A. Laporte, M. Cucurella, P. Paredes, M. Pubill, Rodri, D. Olmo, L. Yamal, Pedri, A. Baena, M. Oyarzabal — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lamine Yamal (5.2 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Pedro Porro (5.0 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Spain’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Spain (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lamine Yamal averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2269 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Pedro Porro averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1066 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · UEFA Nations League
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Czechia 0 · draws 1 · Spain 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Czechia 0W 0D 5L · Spain 5W 0D 0L

Czechia v Spain (UEFA Nations League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
2.86 / 4.71
Corners
against 4.71 / 3.14 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2 / 5.86
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 1.14
Cards
against 1.14 / 3.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCzechia for / againstLineSpain for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.25our book
2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
2.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.71 for · 3.14 against n 7
Shots
7.86 for · 16.57 against n 7
19.5standard
14.43 for · 8.29 against n 7
Shots on target
2 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.86 for · 3 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 10.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12 for · 12 against n 7
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.14 for · 3.14 against n 7

Czechia

Czechia Goalkeeper

Czechia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Kovář490360 min133.3 /9082 /9000 /90
L. Horníček290180 min52.5 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Kinský19090 min77 /9033 /9000 /90
Czechia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Czechia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
2.36/3

Czechia Defensive

Czechia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Hranáč690540 min30.5 /9030.5 /9071.2 /9091.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
L. Krejčí589445 min81.6 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90224.4 /9091.8 /9030.6 /90
Š. Chaloupek490360 min71.8 /9020.5 /9041 /90143.5 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
J. Sláma483331 min71.9 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90174.6 /9051.4 /9000 /90
T. Holeš277154 min42.3 /9042.3 /9021.2 /9084.7 /9021.2 /9000 /90
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Czechia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Czechia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Hložek n 859.3
1.14/1
1.56/1
—
M. Sadílek n 854.5
0.83/1
14/1
—
R. Hranáč n 883.9
28/4
0.11/0
—
P. Šulc n 867.8
0.73/1
0.84/1
—
L. Krejčí n 889.4
1.97/6
0.32/0
—
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Czechia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Czechia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Hložek n 859.3
0.63/0
M. Sadílek n 854.5
2.56/4
R. Hranáč n 883.9
0.54/0
P. Šulc n 867.8
1.54/3
L. Krejčí n 889.4
1.34/3
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Czechia Attacking

Czechia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Hložek764446 min00 /9020.4 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9061.2 /9051 /90
P. Schick360180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Naderi262123 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /90
D. Višinský15656 min00 /9000 /9023.2 /9000 /9000 /9023.2 /90
M. Sadílek759414 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9010.2 /9000 /90
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Czechia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Czechia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Hložek n 859.3
1.77/2
0.84/0
M. Sadílek n 854.5
1.24/2
0.62/1
R. Hranáč n 883.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
P. Šulc n 867.8
0.85/0
0.21/0
L. Krejčí n 889.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
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Czechia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Czechia before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Hložek n 859.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Sadílek n 854.5
0.21/0
00/0
R. Hranáč n 883.9
0.11/0
00/0
P. Šulc n 867.8
00/0
00/0
L. Krejčí n 889.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Spain

Spain Goalkeeper

Spain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Unai Simón1090900 min181.8 /9040.4 /9000 /90
David Raya19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Spain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Unai Simón n 890
25/3

Spain Defensive

Spain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Marc Cucurella1090900 min131.3 /9060.6 /9050.5 /90282.8 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
Pau Cubarsí Paredes1090900 min80.8 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90292.9 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Aymeric Laporte1090899 min70.7 /90151.5 /9010.1 /90323.2 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
Pedro Porro589444 min122.4 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90275.5 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Marc Pubill390270 min72.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90134.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
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Spain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rodri n 877
1.65/3
15/1
—
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
1.64/3
1.35/2
—
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
16/2
0.43/0
—
Marc Cucurella n 890
0.84/2
0.94/3
—
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
0.65/0
—
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Spain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rodri n 877
3.17/4
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
26/4
Marc Cucurella n 890
1.56/3
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
0.95/2
Aymeric Laporte n 889.9
0.84/1
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Spain Attacking

Spain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mikel Oyarzabal1076758 min60.7 /9010.1 /90232.7 /90131.5 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
Ferran Torres738266 min00 /9010.3 /90103.4 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
Nico Williams335106 min10.8 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Víctor Muñoz23467 min00 /9000 /9045.4 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Roberto Fernández19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
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Spain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rodri n 877
0.42/1
0.11/0
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
3.17/7
1.76/4
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Marc Cucurella n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
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Spain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Spain before kick-off, to 6 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rodri n 877
0.11/0
00/0
Lamine Yamal n 879.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
Marc Cucurella n 890
00/0
0.31/1
Unai Simón n 890
00/0
00/0
Pau Cubarsí Paredes n 890
00/0
00/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Czechia v Spain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CzechiaLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
SpainWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Czechia 0 · 1 draw · Spain 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-10-03 Spain 3–1 Czechia
  • 2022-06-12 Spain 2–0 Czech Republic
  • 2022-06-05 Czech Republic 2–2 Spain
League standing · 2026/27
Czechia#4 pos0 pts4 pl-8 GD
Spain#1 pos12 pts4 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Czechia scored0.5
Spain scored3
Czechia conceded2.5
Spain conceded1.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Czechia v Spain?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Czechia v Spain is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Czechia and Spain?
In their last 3 meetings, Czechia won 0, Spain won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Czechia and Spain?
Recent form — Czechia 0W 0D 5L; Spain 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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