Türkiye v Paraguay result

Full-time · Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay

World Cup · · Levi's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Türkiye · Paraguay

The model’s pre-match pick

Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay — Paraguay won this World Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.76 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 53.6% of 153 landed (95% range 45.7–61.3%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Paraguay won 1–0 at Levi's Stadium in the World Cup on Saturday 20 June. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Türkiye out-shot Paraguay 32 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.17 xG to 0.32 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Paraguay led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paraguay: Matías Galarza (2’, assisted by J. Enciso). M. Almirón (45’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Matías Galarza’s goal on 2 minutes.

Discipline

Iván Barton, El Salvador showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Türkiye: Evren Elmalı (71’); Paraguay: Matías Galarza (4’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Cáceres (Paraguay) 9.6, J. Enciso (Paraguay) 9.4 and Matías Galarza (Paraguay) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Türkiye next host Belgium on 12 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Türkiye: Türkiye v Belgium, Thursday 12 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay · World Cup
  • Venue: Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara
  • Referee: Iván Barton, El Salvador
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Türkiye 3W 1D 1L · Paraguay 1W 1D 3L

Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay (World Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.83
Goals
against 1.5 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 6 matches
7.17 / 4.67
Corners
against 4.4 / 3.33 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 3 matches
5.5 / 3
Shots on target
against 2 / 3.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2.17 / 3
Cards
against 1.4 / 0.67 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 3 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTürkiye for / againstLineParaguay for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.25our book
0.83 for · 2 against n 6
Corners won
7.17 for · 4.4 against n 6
9.5standard
4.67 for · 3.33 against n 3
Shots
17.5 for · 7.8 against n 6
19.5standard
7.67 for · 11.33 against n 3
Shots on target
5.5 for · 2 against n 6
8.5standard
3 for · 3.33 against n 3
Fouls committed
8.33 for · 11.8 against n 6
21.5standard
14.67 for · 9 against n 3
Cards shown
2.17 for · 1.4 against n 6
3.5standard
3 for · 0.67 against n 3

Referee: Iván Barton, El Salvador.

Türkiye

Türkiye Goalkeeper

Türkiye — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
U. Çakır19797 min21.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Türkiye — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
U. Çakır n 890.9
26/1

Türkiye Defensive

Türkiye — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bardakcı19797 min21.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9087.4 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Kadıoğlu19797 min00 /9000 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Demiral19797 min10.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9076.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Çelik18181 min11.1 /9000 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /90
A. Güler19797 min10.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9054.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Türkiye — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bardakcı n 890.9
1.26/2
0.64/1
G. Gomez
M. Demiral n 884.5
1.26/2
0.75/0
O. Alderete
H. Çalhanoğlu n 884.9
0.95/2
1.57/3
D. Gómez
A. Güler n 881
0.63/1
3.28/6
—
F. Kadıoğlu n 885.8
0.32/0
15/3
J. Cáceres
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Türkiye — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Çalhanoğlu n 884.9
2.86/5
M. Demiral n 884.5
1.66/4
F. Kadıoğlu n 885.8
1.24/2
A. Bardakcı n 890.9
15/2
A. Güler n 881
0.75/0
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Türkiye Attacking

Türkiye — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Aktürkoğlu18585 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
K. Yıldız15252 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /90
Y. Akgün13535 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9025.1 /9012.6 /90
A. Güler19797 min00 /9000 /9076.5 /9032.8 /9021.9 /9010.9 /90
H. Çalhanoğlu19797 min00 /9000 /9032.8 /9021.9 /9043.7 /9000 /90
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Türkiye — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Güler n 881
2.87/4
1.16/1
H. Çalhanoğlu n 884.9
1.55/4
0.94/3
M. Demiral n 884.5
1.15/3
0.31/1
A. Bardakcı n 890.9
0.76/0
0.22/0
F. Kadıoğlu n 885.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Türkiye — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Türkiye before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Çalhanoğlu n 884.9
0.32/0
0.52/2
A. Güler n 881
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Demiral n 884.5
0.31/1
00/0
A. Bardakcı n 890.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Kadıoğlu n 885.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Paraguay

Paraguay Goalkeeper

Paraguay — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Orlando Gill297194 min62.8 /9041.9 /9000 /90
Roberto Fernández19393 min11 /9000 /9000 /90

Paraguay Defensive

Paraguay — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Gomez396287 min41.3 /9051.6 /9000 /90154.7 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
O. Alderete396287 min20.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /90123.8 /9020.6 /9000 /90
J. Cáceres366199 min135.9 /9010.5 /9000 /902410.9 /9052.3 /9010.5 /90
J. Alonso296192 min41.9 /9031.4 /9000 /9083.8 /9041.9 /9020.9 /90
G. Velazquez24488 min22 /9022 /9000 /9077.2 /9022 /9011 /90
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Paraguay — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paraguay before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Alderete n 892.6
1.77/4
0.22/0
M. Demiral
G. Gomez n 892.1
1.25/3
0.64/1
A. Bardakcı
D. Gómez n 382.3
1.53/1
1.12/1
H. Çalhanoğlu
A. Sanabria n 856.4
0.62/1
0.63/0
—
J. Cáceres n 366.3
2.32/2
0.91/1
F. Kadıoğlu
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Paraguay — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paraguay before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Gomez n 892.1
0.95/2
O. Alderete n 892.6
0.53/1
D. Gómez n 382.3
2.63/3
A. Sanabria n 856.4
0.42/0
J. Cáceres n 366.3
5.93/2
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Paraguay Attacking

Paraguay — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sanabria372216 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
J. Enciso19999 min00 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9021.8 /90
Alex Arce13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
D. Gómez382247 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9031.1 /90
R. Sosa364192 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9052.3 /90
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Paraguay — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paraguay before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Alderete n 892.6
0.53/1
0.42/1
G. Gomez n 892.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Gómez n 382.3
1.12/1
0.41/0
A. Sanabria n 856.4
1.24/2
0.21/0
J. Cáceres n 366.3
00/0
00/0
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Paraguay — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paraguay before kick-off, to 14 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Alderete n 892.6
00/0
00/0
G. Gomez n 892.1
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 382.3
00/0
00/0
A. Sanabria n 856.4
00/0
00/0
J. Cáceres n 366.3
00/0
0.51/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TürkiyeParaguay
79%Possession21%
2.17Expected goals (xG)0.32
32Shots7
5Shots on target2
15Shots off target3
12Blocked shots2
16Shots inside the box3
12Corners0
2Offsides3
14Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
1Saves5
629Passes178
89%Pass accuracy54%

Türkiye Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
U. Çakır9000000006.3
M. Müldür9000102306.9
M. Demiral9000520006.6
H. Çalhanoğlu9000203407.3
A. Güler9000103107.7
K. Yıldız9000414107.2
A. Bardakcı8600002208.2
F. Kadıoğlu7000004206.9
İ. Yüksek6000200407
Y. Akgün6000000006.2
K. Aktürkoğlu4500002006.7
B. Yılmaz sub4500101006.7
C. Uzun sub3000214006.9
D. Gül sub3000210006.3
E. Elmalı sub20000010Y6.7
O. Kökçü sub1300000006.7

Paraguay Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Orlando Gill9000000007.9
G. Gomez9000000007.2
O. Alderete9000100007.2
J. Alonso9000000207.2
Andrés Cubas9000000106.9
Matías Galarza89101103Y7.6
J. Enciso8901104107.7
J. Cáceres8100111908.3
D. Gómez6700100206.9
M. Almirón48000003R5.9
Isidro Pitta4500000005.9
D. Bobadilla sub4500000206.9
G. Velazquez sub2300000007
Alexandro Maidana sub900000006.6
José Canale sub10000010–
Gabriel Ávalos sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Türkiye v Paraguay — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TürkiyeWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ParaguayLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Türkiye#4 pos3 pts3 pl-2 GD
Paraguay#3 pos4 pts3 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Türkiye scored1
Paraguay scored0.67
Türkiye conceded1.67
Paraguay conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Türkiye v Paraguay?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Türkiye v Paraguay was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.76 at Unibet).
What is the recent form of Türkiye and Paraguay?
Recent form — Türkiye 3W 1D 1L; Paraguay 1W 1D 3L.

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