1. FC Nürnberg v SC Paderborn 07 result

Full-time · 1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Nürnberg and SC Paderborn 07 drew 0–0 in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 29 August. 1. FC Nürnberg are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: 1. FC Nürnberg 0.00, SC Paderborn 07 0.00, from 14 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Bacher showed seven yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Nürnberg: S. Telalović (29’), Fabio Gruber (70’) and J. Justvan (72’); SC Paderborn 07: Felix Götze (43’), L. Engelns (45+4’), M. Hoffmeier (60’) and Sven Michel (84’).

What it changes

1. FC Nürnberg move down from 16th to 18th (four league matches played).

SC Paderborn 07 stay eighth after this result (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Calvin Brackelmann (SC Paderborn 07) 6.9, Santiago Castañeda (SC Paderborn 07) 6.8 and Berkay Yilmaz (1. FC Nürnberg) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

1. FC Nürnberg next host 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 24 October 2026.

SC Paderborn 07 next host Hamburger SV on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: 1. FC Nürnberg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for SC Paderborn 07: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 · 2. Bundesliga
  • Referee: M. Bacher
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Nürnberg 3 · draws 0 · SC Paderborn 07 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg 1W 1D 3L · SC Paderborn 07 2W 1D 2L

1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.25
Corners
against 2.75 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.75 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.5 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 4 matches
4.29 yellows
Referee · M. Bacher
2.71 home / 1.57 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game1. FC Nürnberg for / againstLineSC Paderborn 07 for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 2.75 against n 4
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.5 against n 4
Shots
17 for · 11 against n 4
19.5standard
13 for · 10.5 against n 4
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 4
8.5standard
5.5 for · 3.75 against n 4
Fouls committed
15.75 for · 19.25 against n 4
21.5standard
14.5 for · 9.75 against n 4
Cards shown
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 4
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 4

Referee: M. Bacher — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 25.14 fouls over 7 matches (2.71 to the home side, 1.57 to the away side).

1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Le Bret n 331.7
2.82/1
1.91/1
—
Caspar Jander n 363
2.43/1
3.82/2
—
Artem Stepanov n 431
2.22/1
00/0
—
Rafael Lubach n 588.2
1.85/3
3.55/4
S. Castañeda
T. Janisch n 390
1.72/2
0.31/0
—
1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Artem Stepanov n 431
3.62/2
2.22/1
S. Telalović n 834.8
3.25/3
1.33/1
N. Le Bret n 331.7
2.81/1
1.91/1
M. Biron n 840
2.35/1
0.83/0
Caspar Jander n 363
1.92/2
0.51/0
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Artem Stepanov n 431
0.71/0
00/0
Caspar Jander n 363
00/0
0.51/0
Berkay Yilmaz n 497.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Knoche n 864.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Biron n 840
0.31/0
00/0
1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Caspar Jander n 363
3.33/1
O. Karafiát n 528.8
2.53/1
Rafael Lubach n 588.2
2.45/4
Danilo Soares n 771
2.45/4
Berkay Yilmaz n 497.5
2.34/3
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Michel n 833.4
2.74/1
0.72/0
—
Lucas Copado n 49.5
2.41/0
2.41/0
—
T. Scheller n 562.2
2.35/3
0.31/0
—
L. Curda n 875.4
2.27/4
00/0
—
S. Castañeda n 663.7
1.95/2
0.72/1
Rafael Lubach
SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Grimaldi n 829.5
4.25/4
1.93/2
S. Tigges n 839.3
3.47/3
1.45/0
F. Bilbija n 885.6
2.88/6
1.77/4
S. Marino n 418.3
2.52/0
2.52/0
Lucas Copado n 49.5
2.41/0
00/0
SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Marino n 418.3
00/0
1.21/0
A. Grimaldi n 829.5
1.12/1
00/0
S. Tigges n 839.3
0.93/0
00/0
F. Bilbija n 885.6
0.53/1
00/0
S. Klaas n 755.3
0.52/0
00/0
SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Curda n 875.4
2.56/5
Lucas Copado n 49.5
2.41/0
M. Hoffmeier n 887.9
1.97/5
C. Brackelmann n 880.6
1.85/4
F. Götze n 560.8
1.83/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC NürnbergSC Paderborn 07
47%Possession53%
14Shots15
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
7Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box12
7Corners5
2Offsides5
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves3
390Passes439
83%Pass accuracy81%

1. FC Nürnberg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Reichert9000000007.5
F. Gruber90001101Y6.9
L. Lochoshvili9000002307.7
H. Koudossou9000001106.9
Rafael Lubach9000110206.9
Berkay Yilmaz9000001307.3
J. Justvan90001000Y6.3
M. Zoma9000113007.2
F. Becker8900001107.2
S. Telalović76002011Y6.3
T. Janisch4500001107
M. Biron sub4500101107
Artem Stepanov sub1400000106.3
T. Baack sub10000000–

SC Paderborn 07 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Seimen9000000007.9
F. Götze90000010Y7.7
C. Brackelmann9000210507.9
L. Curda9000202407
S. Castañeda9000101507.9
R. Obermair9000006307.6
M. Hoffmeier89000002Y6.9
F. Bilbija6700110106.9
M. Baur6700111107
L. Engelns63000000Y6.5
S. Tigges6300100106.3
S. Klaas sub2700001106.9
Lucas Copado sub2700001006.2
N. Bätzner sub2300000106.7
S. Michel sub23001000Y6.5
M. Wörner sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Nürnberg v SC Paderborn 07 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC NürnbergWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SC Paderborn 07LWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Nürnberg 3 · 0 draws · SC Paderborn 07 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-04-19 1. FC Nürnberg 2–3 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2024-11-22 SC Paderborn 07 3–2 1. FC Nürnberg
  • 2024-04-19 FC Nurnberg 0–2 SC Paderborn 07
  • 2023-11-11 SC Paderborn 07 1–3 FC Nurnberg
  • 2023-05-28 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 FC Nurnberg
  • 2022-11-13 FC Nurnberg 2–1 SC Paderborn 07
League standing · 2025/26
1. FC Nürnberg#8 pos46 pts34 pl+2 GD
SC Paderborn 07#3 pos62 pts34 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Nürnberg scored1.38
SC Paderborn 07 scored1.74
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.32
SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.32

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v SC Paderborn 07?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v SC Paderborn 07 was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Nürnberg and SC Paderborn 07?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 3, SC Paderborn 07 won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Nürnberg and SC Paderborn 07?
Recent form — 1. FC Nürnberg 1W 1D 3L; SC Paderborn 07 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →