1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg result

Full-time · 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:30 BST · Max-Morlock-Stadion

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Nürnberg · VfL Wolfsburg

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.44 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg drew 4–4 at Max-Morlock-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

VfL Wolfsburg led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — VfL Wolfsburg: H. Wahl (12’), M. Damar (29’, assisted by Vinicius Souza) and A. Besio (90’); 1. FC Nürnberg: P. Scobel (52’, assisted by J. Fernandez; 59’, assisted by R. Ghrieb), M. Zoma (63’, assisted by E. Porstner) and G. Masouras (90’, assisted by A. Marhiev).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: VfL Wolfsburg out-shot 1. FC Nürnberg 22 to 21 and created the better chances, 3.71 xG to 2.38 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Lars Erbst, Germany showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Nürnberg: M. Zoma (20’), A. Kalogeropoulos (87’) and G. Masouras (90+6’); VfL Wolfsburg: H. Wahl (62’), M. Angely (76’) and K. Shiogai (86’).

What it changes

1. FC Nürnberg move down from first to second (seven league matches played). 1. FC Nürnberg have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 1. FC Nürnberg have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Wolfsburg move down from fourth to fifth (seven league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have scored 23 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 7, across nine matches. 1. FC Nürnberg have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Scobel (1. FC Nürnberg) 10.1, A. Besio (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.9 and M. Damar (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in the last three meetings with 1. FC Nürnberg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

1. FC Nürnberg next travel to FC St. Pauli on 1 November 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg next host VfL Osnabrück on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Max-Morlock-Stadion · Nuremberg
Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): 1. FC Nürnberg 0 · draws 0 · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L

1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.29 / 6.5

Corners

against 5.86 / 7.17 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6.57 / 6.33

Shots on target

against 4.14 / 4.33 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.57 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.33 yellows

Referee · Lars Erbst, Germany

24.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	1. FC Nürnberg for / against	Line	VfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored	2.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.29 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 7.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	16.71 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.83 for · 15 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	6.57 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.33 for · 4.33 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13.33 for · 10.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.57 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Lars Erbst, Germany — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg Goalkeeper

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Reichert	6	90540 min	142.3 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90

1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 8	90	3.1 5/5

1. FC Nürnberg Defensive

1. FC Nürnberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Kalogeropoulos	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	91.5 /90	61 /90	183 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90
E. Porstner	6	86516 min	122.1 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	223.8 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
T. Janisch	6	75449 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	234.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
F. Otto	5	88439 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
G. Masouras	4	2391 min	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90	98.9 /90	11 /90	11 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Marhiev n 8	90	2.5 8/6	2.1 8/5	Vinicius Souza
A. Kalogeropoulos n 6	90	1.2 3/2	0.3 1/1	H. Wahl
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1.7 8/4	1 5/3	Vinicius Souza
M. Zoma n 8	86.5	0.4 3/0	2 6/5	F. Reese
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1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	3.1 7/6
A. Kalogeropoulos n 6	90	1.2 4/2
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1.4 5/2
M. Zoma n 8	86.5	1.2 4/2
E. Porstner n 8	69.8	1.9 6/5
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1. FC Nürnberg Attacking

1. FC Nürnberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Scobel	6	82489 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	203.7 /90	101.8 /90	71.3 /90	00 /90
W. Bøving	3	2574 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
S. Haugen	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	24.7 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Marhiev	6	90540 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	111.8 /90	61 /90
J. Fernandez	6	88527 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90	71.2 /90	81.4 /90
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1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	1 5/3	0.5 3/1
A. Kalogeropoulos n 6	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	1.3 6/4	0.5 3/1
M. Zoma n 8	86.5	2.9 8/7	2.1 8/5
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1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Nürnberg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Marhiev n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
J. Reichert n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Kalogeropoulos n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fernandez n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
M. Zoma n 8	86.5	1.2 6/2	0 0/0
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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Zieliński	6	91545 min	183 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 6	90.8	3 6/4

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Wahl	6	91545 min	61 /90	122 /90	40.7 /90	162.6 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
J. Mæhle	5	90449 min	122.4 /90	71.4 /90	10.2 /90	214.2 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
K. Fischer	4	91365 min	123 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	225.4 /90	82 /90	00 /90
M. Angely	3	91273 min	51.6 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	154.9 /90	72.3 /90	20.7 /90
S. Kumbedi	3	89268 min	62 /90	31 /90	00 /90	113.7 /90	72.4 /90	10.3 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Wahl n 6	90.8	0.7 4/0	0.5 2/1	A. Kalogeropoulos
J. Zieliński n 6	90.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0	—
F. Reese n 6	88.8	0.3 1/1	0.5 3/0	M. Zoma
Vinicius Souza n 8	83.6	1.7 7/3	0.7 5/0	J. Fernandez
M. Damar n 6	69.5	1.1 4/1	1.7 5/1	—
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Wahl n 6	90.8	1 5/1
F. Reese n 6	88.8	2.2 5/5
Vinicius Souza n 8	83.6	2.3 6/4
M. Damar n 6	69.5	1.1 4/1
J. Mæhle n 8	89.9	2.4 7/7
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Reese	6	89533 min	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	213.5 /90	61 /90	213.5 /90	152.5 /90
R. Glatzel	5	55273 min	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.6 /90	72.3 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
K. Shiogai	5	44221 min	00 /90	00 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	52 /90
A. Bernhardsson	4	85341 min	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	92.4 /90	41.1 /90	123.2 /90	71.8 /90
F. Hornby	2	57113 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.4 /90	21.6 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wahl n 6	90.8	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
J. Zieliński n 6	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Reese n 6	88.8	3.5 6/6	1 4/2
Vinicius Souza n 8	83.6	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
M. Damar n 6	69.5	2.4 6/3	1.3 4/2
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Wahl n 6	90.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
J. Zieliński n 6	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Reese n 6	88.8	0.5 2/1	0.7 2/1
Vinicius Souza n 8	83.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Damar n 6	69.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Nürnberg		VfL Wolfsburg
50%	Possession	50%
2.38	Expected goals (xG)	3.71
21	Shots	22
8	Shots on target	9
4	Shots off target	7
9	Blocked shots	6
14	Shots inside the box	16
6	Corners	6
4	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	24
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	4
425	Passes	416
84%	Pass accuracy	82%

1. FC Nürnberg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Reichert	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.3
J. Fernandez	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	6.9
A. Marhiev	90	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	7.3
F. Otto	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
A. Kalogeropoulos	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
P. Scobel	90	2	0	4	3	1	1	0	7.9
M. Zoma	89	1	0	2	2	3	0	Y	7.3
J. Justvan	81	0	0	3	1	1	3	0	7.2
E. Porstner	81	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7
T. Janisch	63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
R. Ghrieb	63	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	6.9
G. Masouras sub	27	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	7.2
Rafael Lubach sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
W. Bøving sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6
A. Ceresoli sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
S. Haugen sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Glatzel	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.2
M. Damar	90	1	0	3	3	4	2	0	7.5
J. Mæhle	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
M. Angely	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.6
H. Wahl	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.7
K. Fischer	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
J. Zieliński	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Vinicius Souza	79	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
F. Reese	75	0	0	2	1	2	2	0	7.3
A. Bernhardsson	75	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	6.3
Y. Gerhardt	62	0	0	4	1	1	2	0	6
E. Rexhbeçaj sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Besio sub	15	2	0	3	2	1	0	0	8.3
K. Shiogai sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
M. Arnold sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC NürnbergDWDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

VfL WolfsburgDWDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 3.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

1. FC Nürnberg 0 · 0 draws · VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2 goals/game

2019-05-04 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 FC Nurnberg
2018-12-14 FC Nurnberg 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg
2017-12-19 FC Nurnberg 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg

League standing · 2026/27

1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts9 pl+9 GD

VfL Wolfsburg#4 pos16 pts9 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Nürnberg scored2.33

VfL Wolfsburg scored2.56

1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.33

VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg?: In their last 3 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 0, VfL Wolfsburg won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Wolfsburg?: Recent form — 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L; VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.