Energie Cottbus v SpVgg Greuther Fürth result

Full-time · Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 12:00 BST · LEAG Energie Stadion

Updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Energie Cottbus · SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The model’s pre-match pick

Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth — SpVgg Greuther Fürth won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 4–3 at LEAG Energie Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Energie Cottbus out-shot SpVgg Greuther Fürth 23 to 15 and created the better chances, 3.03 xG to 1.99 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Energie Cottbus: Lucas Copado (6’, assisted by L. Bittencourt), an own goal by Fousseny Doumbia (47’), Tolcay Cigerci (70’, assisted by L. Bittencourt) and Dmytro Bohdanov (90’, assisted by J. Butler); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: F. Klaus (45’ pen; 80’, assisted by O. Sillah) and Ole Pohlmann (72’).

Discipline

The bookings — Energie Cottbus: Jannis Boziaris (54’) and King Samuel Manu (77’); SpVgg Greuther Fürth: J. Heuer (50’) and D. Arifi (84’).

What it changes

Energie Cottbus move down from seventh to ninth (three league matches played).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth move up from 13th to fifth (three league matches played).

Energie Cottbus have lost their last three matches in all competitions. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Bittencourt (Energie Cottbus) 11.6, F. Klaus (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 9.8 and Ole Pohlmann (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Energie Cottbus next host Hertha BSC on 21 November 2026.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth next travel to Hannover 96 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Energie Cottbus: Energie Cottbus v Hertha BSC, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Hannover 96 v SpVgg Greuther Fürth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: LEAG Energie Stadion · Cottbus
Referee: Felix Weller, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Energie Cottbus 2W 0D 3L · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 1D 3L

Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

6 / 7.38

Corners

against 6.6 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4 / 5

Shots on target

against 7 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

1.8 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.6 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Energie Cottbus for / against	Line	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6 for · 6.6 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.8 for · 19 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	16.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 7 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.8 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Felix Weller, Germany.

Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus Goalkeeper

Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Lotka	3	90270 min	155 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Lotka n 3	90	5 3/2

Energie Cottbus Defensive

Energie Cottbus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luca Erlein	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	51.7 /90	93 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Henry Rorig	3	66199 min	10.5 /90	31.4 /90	31.4 /90	41.8 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90
Fousseny Doumbia	3	52156 min	10.6 /90	42.3 /90	10.6 /90	74 /90	52.9 /90	00 /90
King Samuel Manu	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	157.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
Axel Borgmann	2	63125 min	21.4 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	53.6 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lotka n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
Luca Erlein n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	G. Itter
Lukas Michelbrink n 3	83	0.4 1/0	0.7 2/0	P. Will
L. Copado n 3	75	1.6 3/1	1.2 2/1	—
Tolcay Cigerci n 5	77.4	1.9 4/3	1.6 4/1	—
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Energie Cottbus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Luca Erlein n 3	90	1.7 3/1
Lukas Michelbrink n 3	83	1.4 3/1
L. Copado n 3	75	0 0/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 5	77.4	0.5 2/0
Henry Rorig n 5	72.2	3.5 3/2
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Energie Cottbus Attacking

Energie Cottbus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Copado	3	75225 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90
Moritz Hannemann	3	49146 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.5 /90	21.2 /90	42.5 /90	53.1 /90
J. Butler	3	41124 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.9 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90	32.2 /90
Lukas Michelbrink	3	83249 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
Tolcay Cigerci	3	69207 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90	41.7 /90	41.7 /90
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Energie Cottbus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luca Erlein n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
M. Lotka n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 3	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Copado n 3	75	1.2 2/1	1.2 2/1
Tolcay Cigerci n 5	77.4	2.1 4/2	1.4 3/2
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Energie Cottbus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Energie Cottbus before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Luca Erlein n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
M. Lotka n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 3	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Copado n 3	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 5	77.4	0.7 2/1	0 0/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalkeeper

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Florian Hellstern	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Florian Hellstern n 3	90	3.7 2/2

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Itter	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
J. Heuer	3	90270 min	31 /90	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	124 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
K. Keresztes	3	85255 min	20.7 /90	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	103.5 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
J. Dehm	3	77232 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	83.1 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90
Lukas Reich	1	2222 min	14.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	28.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Will n 8	87	1.3 6/4	0.3 2/0	Lukas Michelbrink
J. Heuer n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0 0/0	—
G. Itter n 8	83.9	0.5 4/0	0.5 2/2	Luca Erlein
Florian Hellstern n 3	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
S. Appelkamp n 3	89	0.7 2/0	1 1/1	—
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Itter n 8	83.9	3.1 6/4
P. Will n 8	87	2.3 8/6
J. Heuer n 3	90	1 1/1
S. Appelkamp n 3	89	1 2/1
F. Klaus n 8	88.3	0.4 2/1
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Klaus	3	85256 min	31.1 /90	00 /90	144.9 /90	113.9 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90
D. Srbeny	3	82247 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90	10.4 /90
P. Will	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
S. Appelkamp	3	89267 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
S. Banse	3	79237 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Itter n 8	83.9	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
P. Will n 8	87	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Heuer n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Appelkamp n 3	89	1 2/1	0.3 1/0
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Itter n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
J. Heuer n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Will n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Appelkamp n 3	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Energie Cottbus		SpVgg Greuther Fürth
54%	Possession	46%
3.03	Expected goals (xG)	1.99
23	Shots	15
6	Shots on target	7
12	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	4
16	Shots inside the box	11
10	Corners	6
4	Offsides	1
11	Fouls	16
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	3
450	Passes	386
86%	Pass accuracy	78%

Energie Cottbus Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Bittencourt	90	0	2	0	0	5	3	0	8.5
Axel Borgmann	90	0	0	3	0	2	1	0	5.9
Lucas Copado	90	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.3
King Samuel Manu	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	5.7
Lukas Michelbrink	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
M. Lotka	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Copado	90	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.3
Jannis Boziaris	79	0	0	1	0	5	1	Y	7
Christian Kinsombi	67	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Fousseny Doumbia	55	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
Luca Erlein	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
Moritz Hannemann	45	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.6
Henry Rorig sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Tolcay Cigerci sub	45	1	0	4	3	3	0	0	8
T. Campulka sub	35	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
J. Butler sub	23	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Dmytro Bohdanov sub	11	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	7.3

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Will	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
Ole Pohlmann	90	1	0	4	3	0	1	0	7.3
F. Klaus	90	2	0	2	2	2	0	0	7.5
K. Keresztes	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
G. Itter	90	0	0	0	0	2	5	0	6.2
J. Heuer	90	0	0	2	2	0	2	Y	6.3
Florian Hellstern	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Banse	83	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	6.7
S. Appelkamp	83	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	7.5
J. Dehm	73	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
D. Srbeny	66	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.2
O. Sillah sub	24	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
Lukas Reich sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
D. Arifi sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
A. Keller sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Energie Cottbus v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Energie CottbusWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

SpVgg Greuther FürthLWDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Energie Cottbus#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#9 pos12 pts11 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

Energie Cottbus scored1.64

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.18

Energie Cottbus conceded1.82

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Energie Cottbus v SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Energie Cottbus v SpVgg Greuther Fürth was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: Recent form — Energie Cottbus 2W 0D 3L; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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