Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück result

Full-time · Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück

2. Bundesliga · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 12:00 BST · Holstein-Stadion

Updated 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Holstein Kiel · VfL Osnabrück · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.53 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück drew 1–1 at Holstein-Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September. VfL Osnabrück have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Holstein Kiel led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Holstein Kiel: P. Harres (45’ pen) and an own goal by H. Sekine (72’). D. Zec (74’) was sent off.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Holstein Kiel 2.10, VfL Osnabrück 1.82, from 18 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tom Bauer, Germany showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Holstein Kiel: D. Zec (10’), H. Sekine (29’), N. Madsen (70’) and D. Zec (74’); VfL Osnabrück: R. Fabinski (1’), J. Gómez (9’) and F. Wagner (19’).

What it changes

Holstein Kiel move up from 18th to 15th (six league matches played). Holstein Kiel have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Holstein Kiel have conceded 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück move up from 10th to ninth (six league matches played). VfL Osnabrück have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Holstein Kiel are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Balzi (Holstein Kiel) 6.8, P. Harres (Holstein Kiel) 6.1 and T. Weiner (Holstein Kiel) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfL Osnabrück, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.1% of the time in the last 90 days (393 of 586).

Next up

Holstein Kiel next travel to SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 1 November 2026.

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Holstein Kiel: SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga
Venue: Holstein-Stadion · Kiel
Referee: Tom Bauer, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Holstein Kiel 2 · draws 1 · VfL Osnabrück 3 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Holstein Kiel 1W 2D 2L · VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L

Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

6.75 / 3.75

Corners

against 5.63 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.38 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.6 yellows

Referee · Tom Bauer, Germany

25.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Holstein Kiel for / against	Line	VfL Osnabrück for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.5 for · 19.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.38 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tom Bauer, Germany — 5.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Goalkeeper

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Weiner	5	90450 min	122.4 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90
L. Rothenhagen	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Weiner n 8	90	2.4 5/5

Holstein Kiel Defensive

Holstein Kiel — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Zec	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90	294.8 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
H. Sekine	6	90540 min	162.7 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90	325.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90
I. Nekić	6	90540 min	132.2 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90	305 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
Leon Parduzi	4	68273 min	41.3 /90	62 /90	51.6 /90	165.3 /90	51.6 /90	20.7 /90
J. Tolkin	3	75224 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	72.8 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Harres n 8	90	1.4 5/3	1.3 7/2	—
D. Zec n 8	89	1.3 7/2	1.3 6/3	J. Muller
I. Nekić n 8	87.6	1.2 6/3	1.4 7/4	—
H. Sekine n 6	90	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0	N. Wiemann
J. Meffert n 8	87	1 5/3	0.8 4/2	—
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Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Sekine n 6	90	2.7 6/4
I. Nekić n 8	87.6	2.1 6/5
D. Zec n 8	89	1 6/2
P. Harres n 8	90	0.3 2/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	1.8 6/4
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Holstein Kiel Attacking

Holstein Kiel — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Harres	6	90540 min	40.7 /90	20.3 /90	203.3 /90	91.5 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90
G. de Regt	3	2988 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90
J. Meffert	6	89535 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
A. Kaprálik	6	84504 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	81.4 /90	10.2 /90	112 /90	30.5 /90
G. Balzi	6	82491 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	81.5 /90	50.9 /90	142.6 /90	122.2 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Harres n 8	90	2.6 7/6	1.3 7/3
H. Sekine n 6	90	1 4/2	0 0/0
D. Zec n 8	89	0.6 5/0	0.1 1/0
I. Nekić n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Harres n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
H. Sekine n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Zec n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Nekić n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück Goalkeeper

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Krumrey	6	91547 min	254.1 /90	152.5 /90	00 /90

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 6	91.2	4.1 5/4

VfL Osnabrück Defensive

VfL Osnabrück — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Wiemann	6	91547 min	193.1 /90	111.8 /90	61 /90	325.3 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
R. Fabinski	6	91547 min	203.3 /90	91.5 /90	81.3 /90	315.1 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
J. Muller	6	91546 min	122 /90	132.1 /90	61 /90	244 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
K. Faber	4	42167 min	42.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	63.2 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
J. Abu Hanna	1	2525 min	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	1.1 6/2	0.6 5/0	H. Sekine
R. Fabinski n 6	91.2	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Krumrey n 6	91.2	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
J. Muller n 6	91	0.8 4/1	0.7 2/1	D. Zec
R. Meissner n 6	86	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1	—
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VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 6	91.2	3.3 5/5
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	3 8/7
J. Muller n 6	91	2 5/3
R. Meissner n 6	86	0.9 3/1
B. Jacobsen n 6	84.5	2.1 3/3
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VfL Osnabrück Attacking

VfL Osnabrück — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Meissner	6	86516 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	142.4 /90	91.6 /90	61 /90	81.4 /90
L. Munst	6	48287 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Ismail Badjie	5	65325 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.2 /90	41.1 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90
A. Beck	4	90359 min	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	82 /90	41 /90
D. Kopacz	2	63125 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	32.2 /90	32.2 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.4 3/0	0.2 2/0
J. Krumrey n 6	91.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 6	91.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 6	91	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 6	86	2.4 6/5	1.6 5/3
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VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 8	90.9	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
J. Krumrey n 6	91.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 6	91.2	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 6	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 6	86	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Holstein Kiel		VfL Osnabrück
58%	Possession	42%
2.10	Expected goals (xG)	1.82
18	Shots	14
4	Shots on target	3
8	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	5
12	Shots inside the box	9
10	Corners	1
1	Offsides	2
11	Fouls	15
4	Yellow cards	3
1	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
527	Passes	388
85%	Pass accuracy	75%

Holstein Kiel Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Weiner	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
N. Madsen	90	0	2	0	1	1	Y	6.7
Leon Parduzi	90	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.6
J. Meffert	90	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.9
A. Kaprálik	90	0	3	0	4	2	0	7.2
K. Davidsen	90	0	2	2	1	3	0	6.4
P. Harres	90	1	4	1	1	0	0	7.2
H. Sekine	89	0	0	0	0	3	Y	5.8
G. Balzi	89	0	1	0	5	4	0	6.7
D. Zec	74	0	0	0	1	1	R	6.2
G. de Regt	69	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
S. Skrzybski	21	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.8
I. Ugoh	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
G. Kvilitaia	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Krumrey	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
R. Fabinski	90	0	0	0	3	Y	6.6
J. Muller	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
N. Wiemann	90	1	0	0	1	0	6.1
B. Jacobsen	90	1	0	1	1	0	6.4
A. Beck	90	4	0	2	3	0	6.5
J. Gómez	87	2	0	2	1	Y	6.3
R. Meissner	87	3	2	1	1	0	6.4
P. Kammerbauer	73	1	0	0	1	0	5.8
Bernd Riesselmann	73	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
F. Wagner	63	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
D. Kyereh	27	1	0	1	0	0	6
K. Faber	17	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
L. Raimund	17	1	1	0	0	0	6.7
J. Abu Hanna	3	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Opitz	3	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Holstein KielDWLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

VfL OsnabrückLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Holstein Kiel 2 · 1 draw · VfL Osnabrück 3 · 4 goals/game

2024-04-13 Holstein Kiel 4–0 VfL Osnabruck
2023-11-04 VfL Osnabruck 1–1 Holstein Kiel
2021-04-24 VfL Osnabruck 1–3 Holstein Kiel
2021-01-03 Holstein Kiel 1–2 VfL Osnabruck
2020-06-21 VfL Osnabruck 4–1 Holstein Kiel
2019-12-07 Holstein Kiel 2–4 VfL Osnabruck

League standing · 2026/27

Holstein Kiel#13 pos8 pts9 pl-1 GD

VfL Osnabrück#8 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Holstein Kiel scored1.11

VfL Osnabrück scored1.56

Holstein Kiel conceded1.22

VfL Osnabrück conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.53 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück?: In their last 6 meetings, Holstein Kiel won 2, VfL Osnabrück won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Holstein Kiel and VfL Osnabrück?: Recent form — Holstein Kiel 1W 2D 2L; VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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