SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel prediction

2. Bundesliga · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Holstein Kiel · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. SpVgg Greuther Fürth have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Holstein Kiel’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Holstein Kiel’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Holstein Kiel have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.14. Holstein Kiel have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Holstein Kiel have conceded 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Holstein Kiel are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. SpVgg Greuther Fürth (12th) and Holstein Kiel (13th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Holstein Kiel the stronger side, 74 rating points above SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Holstein Kiel 1530, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1456, after at least 281 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Team news

Predicted SpVgg Greuther Fürth XI (4-4-2): F. Hellstern, J. Heuer, G. Itter, H. Blank, L. Reich, P. Will, O. Pohlmann, S. Banse, S. Appelkamp, O. Sillah, D. Srbeny — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Klaus (5.6 per match over 10 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and G. Itter (3.7 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Klaus averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 884 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. G. Itter averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 794 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Holstein Kiel XI (4-1-4-1): T. Weiner, H. Sekine, N. Madsen, L. Parduzi, I. Nekić, J. Meffert, A. Kaprálik, J. Therkelsen, G. Balzi, K. Davidsen, P. Harres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Harres (4.9 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and three assists) and G. Balzi (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Holstein Kiel’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Holstein Kiel (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Harres averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1018 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. G. Balzi averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 789 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · 2. Bundesliga · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · draws 1 · Holstein Kiel 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L · Holstein Kiel 1W 3D 1L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

7.38 / 5.71

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.38 / 2.57

Shots on target

against 6 / 4.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.13 / 3.71

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	SpVgg Greuther Fürth for / against	Line	Holstein Kiel for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.13 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.14 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.71 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goalkeeper

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Florian Hellstern	10	90900 min	434.3 /90	181.8 /90	00 /90

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Florian Hellstern n 8	90	4.1 7/7

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Defensive

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Heuer	10	90900 min	111.1 /90	131.3 /90	121.2 /90	363.6 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
G. Itter	9	88794 min	242.7 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90	424.8 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
J. Dehm	7	77541 min	81.3 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	223.7 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90
K. Keresztes	7	72502 min	50.9 /90	112 /90	81.4 /90	173 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
Lukas Reich	6	64381 min	133.1 /90	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	163.8 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Heuer n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
P. Will n 8	90	0.8 3/3	1.1 5/2	—
Florian Hellstern n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Klaus n 8	89.8	0.8 5/1	2.3 8/5	—
Ole Pohlmann n 8	82.4	0.8 4/2	0.8 5/1	—
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Will n 8	90	1.9 7/6
J. Heuer n 8	90	1 5/3
F. Klaus n 8	89.8	0.4 3/0
Ole Pohlmann n 8	82.4	1.8 6/4
S. Banse n 8	73.9	3.2 7/6
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth Attacking

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Klaus	10	88884 min	70.7 /90	10.1 /90	293 /90	212.1 /90	181.8 /90	90.9 /90
D. Srbeny	9	53480 min	00 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	112.1 /90	30.6 /90
O. Sillah	7	50353 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	123.1 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90
J. Siebatcheu	5	38189 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
P. Will	10	90900 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	90.9 /90	50.5 /90
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Heuer n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.6 3/2
P. Will n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Klaus n 8	89.8	2.1 8/7	1.4 7/3
Ole Pohlmann n 8	82.4	1.4 4/3	0.5 2/1
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SpVgg Greuther Fürth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Heuer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Will n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Florian Hellstern n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Klaus n 8	89.8	0.5 2/2	0.1 1/0
Ole Pohlmann n 8	82.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel Goalkeeper

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Weiner	9	90810 min	273 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
L. Rothenhagen	1	9090 min	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Holstein Kiel — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Weiner n 8	90	3.2 7/6

Holstein Kiel Defensive

Holstein Kiel — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Sekine	10	90899 min	272.7 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	585.8 /90	50.5 /90	30.3 /90
D. Zec	9	83744 min	91.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	354.2 /90	141.7 /90	30.4 /90
I. Nekić	7	90630 min	142 /90	121.7 /90	30.4 /90	344.9 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90
Leon Parduzi	7	78543 min	162.7 /90	91.5 /90	50.8 /90	386.3 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90
N. Madsen	5	79393 min	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	143.2 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0.6 5/0	1 5/2	—
P. Harres n 8	89.8	1.1 4/2	1.1 5/2	—
J. Meffert n 8	87	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	1.6 6/5	2.3 7/6	—
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Holstein Kiel — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	3 7/6
P. Harres n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	1.4 5/4
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	0.8 3/2
D. Zec n 8	81.8	1 6/1
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Holstein Kiel Attacking

Holstein Kiel — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Harres	10	90898 min	60.6 /90	30.3 /90	303 /90	141.4 /90	111.1 /90	60.6 /90
G. de Regt	6	45271 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
F. Alidou	2	4488 min	00 /90	00 /90	44.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Kvilitaia	2	3876 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	44.7 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90
S. Skrzybski	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	28.6 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Holstein Kiel — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0.9 4/3	0 0/0
P. Harres n 8	89.8	3.1 8/7	1.4 7/4
J. Meffert n 8	87	0.5 2/2	0 0/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	2 7/5	0.3 2/0
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Holstein Kiel — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Holstein Kiel before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Sekine n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Harres n 8	89.8	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Meffert n 8	87	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Kaprálik n 8	83.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Weiner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SpVgg Greuther FürthDDLWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Holstein KielDLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 · 1 draw · Holstein Kiel 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-01-31 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2025-08-24 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 Holstein Kiel
2024-01-28 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–1 Holstein Kiel
2023-08-05 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2023-01-28 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth
2022-07-16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 2–2 Holstein Kiel

League standing · 2026/27

SpVgg Greuther Fürth#12 pos9 pts9 pl-4 GD

Holstein Kiel#13 pos8 pts9 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored1.33

Holstein Kiel scored1.11

SpVgg Greuther Fürth conceded1.78

Holstein Kiel conceded1.22

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel?: TACTIX’s free model pick for SpVgg Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?: In their last 6 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2, Holstein Kiel won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel?: Recent form — SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1W 2D 2L; Holstein Kiel 1W 3D 1L.

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