VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg prediction

2. Bundesliga · · Vonovia Ruhrstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg, 2. Bundesliga on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.51 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

VfL Bochum host VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 23 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

VfL Bochum have scored five goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

VfL Wolfsburg have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfL Bochum, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of VfL Bochum’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of VfL Bochum’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, VfL Bochum have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00. VfL Bochum have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, VfL Wolfsburg have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.75. VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

VfL Bochum are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. VfL Bochum (16th) and VfL Wolfsburg (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have VfL Wolfsburg the stronger side, 330 rating points above VfL Bochum (VfL Wolfsburg 1724, VfL Bochum 1394, after at least eight rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2025, finished VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 VfL Bochum.

Team news

Predicted VfL Bochum XI (4-2-3-1): T. Horn, M. Steinwender, M. Wittek, K. Mets, S. Klaiber, K. Miyoshi, M. Pannewig, T. Meyer, G. Holtmann, C. Rasmussen, P. Hofmann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Miyoshi (3.6 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) and P. Hofmann (3.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals) have been VfL Bochum’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Bochum (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Miyoshi averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 767 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. P. Hofmann averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 818 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Predicted VfL Wolfsburg XI (4-3-3): J. Zieliński, H. Wahl, J. Mæhle, K. Fischer, M. Angely, V. Souza, M. Damar, Y. Gerhardt, R. Glatzel, A. Bernhardsson, F. Reese — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Reese (7.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals and six assists) and A. Bernhardsson (6.8 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) have been VfL Wolfsburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Wolfsburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Reese averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 808 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. A. Bernhardsson averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1322 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga · Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Bochum 1 · draws 1 · VfL Wolfsburg 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Bochum 1W 1D 3L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L

VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg (2. Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 3.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.25 / 7.13
Corners
against 5.5 / 7.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 8.5
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 2.63
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfL Bochum for / againstLineVfL Wolfsburg for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
20.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
8.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alessandro Crimaldi n 527
3.33/2
1.32/0
—
J. Mbom n 844.8
2.57/2
00/0
—
O. Olsen n 874.3
2.37/2
1.46/3
—
P. Hofmann n 890.6
1.77/4
0.76/0
—
C. Rasmussen n 864.1
1.65/2
2.15/5
—
VfL Bochum — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jarne Steuckers n 831.1
2.25/1
0.72/0
P. Hofmann n 890.6
2.18/5
15/3
K. Miyoshi n 886.4
2.17/4
0.93/2
C. Rasmussen n 864.1
1.66/1
0.94/1
M. Pannewig n 874.4
1.46/1
0.32/0
VfL Bochum — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Hofmann n 890.6
0.43/0
00/0
K. Miyoshi n 886.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
Tom Meyer n 864.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
E. Çokaj n 867.5
00/0
0.21/0
C. Rasmussen n 864.1
0.21/0
00/0
VfL Bochum — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alessandro Crimaldi n 527
2.72/1
O. Olsen n 874.3
2.68/3
Tom Meyer n 864.5
2.46/5
C. Patino n 832.4
2.45/2
J. Mbom n 844.8
1.85/2
VfL Bochum — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Horn n 890.6
2.75/5
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Fischer n 873.4
2.66/5
0.64/0
—
Vinicius Souza n 879.8
2.38/4
0.43/0
—
R. Glatzel n 865.1
2.15/4
15/1
—
Cleiton n 852.4
1.95/3
1.94/3
—
E. Rexhbeçaj n 861
1.85/3
0.93/2
—
VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Besio n 818.1
5.65/2
1.92/1
M. Damar n 878.4
48/5
2.36/4
F. Reese n 889.1
3.37/7
1.36/3
F. Hornby n 878.4
3.27/7
14/3
K. Shiogai n 842.1
2.95/2
1.34/1
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Besio n 818.1
1.21/1
0.61/0
F. Reese n 889.1
0.42/1
0.84/1
R. Glatzel n 865.1
0.93/2
0.21/0
M. Arnold n 826.1
0.91/1
00/0
A. Bernhardsson n 873.5
0.52/1
0.32/0
VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bence Dárdai n 828.8
3.13/2
M. Angely n 880.3
2.88/5
K. Fischer n 873.4
2.86/5
Vinicius Souza n 879.8
2.56/5
J. Mæhle n 888.8
2.46/5
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 894.4
2.98/5
T. Wellenreuther n 890
2.65/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL BochumWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
VfL WolfsburgDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfL Bochum 1 · 1 draw · VfL Wolfsburg 4 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 VfL Bochum
  • 2024-10-05 VfL Bochum 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2024-04-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Vfl Bochum
  • 2023-12-02 Vfl Bochum 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2023-04-22 Vfl Bochum 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2022-10-29 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 Vfl Bochum
League standing · 2026/27
VfL Bochum#16 pos7 pts8 pl-4 GD
VfL Wolfsburg#3 pos15 pts8 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
VfL Bochum scored0.63
VfL Wolfsburg scored2.75
VfL Bochum conceded1.13
VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.63

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.51 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Bochum and VfL Wolfsburg?
In their last 6 meetings, VfL Bochum won 1, VfL Wolfsburg won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Bochum and VfL Wolfsburg?
Recent form — VfL Bochum 1W 1D 3L; VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L.

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