VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim result

Full-time · VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim

2. Bundesliga · · Volkswagen Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfL Wolfsburg · 1. FC Heidenheim · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim — VfL Wolfsburg won this 2. Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

VfL Wolfsburg beat 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 at Volkswagen Arena in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: 1. FC Heidenheim out-shot VfL Wolfsburg 23 to 19 and created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 1.60 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

VfL Wolfsburg led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — VfL Wolfsburg: A. Bernhardsson (1’, assisted by Vinicius Souza), R. Glatzel (45’, assisted by J. Mæhle) and M. Damar (65’, assisted by F. Reese); 1. FC Heidenheim: P. Mainka (21’, assisted by J. Schöppner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Glatzel’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

Tom Bauer, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: H. Wahl (32’), T. Wellenreuther (58’), F. Reese (62’) and A. Besio (85’); 1. FC Heidenheim: Michael Heule (69’).

What it changes

VfL Wolfsburg move up from fifth to third (eight league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Heidenheim move down from third to fifth (eight league matches played). 1. FC Heidenheim have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). 1. FC Heidenheim have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. 1. FC Heidenheim are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vinicius Souza (VfL Wolfsburg) 9.0, R. Glatzel (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.1 and A. Bernhardsson (VfL Wolfsburg) 7.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfL Wolfsburg next travel to Hertha BSC on 7 November 2026.

1. FC Heidenheim next host Hannover 96 on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Wolfsburg: Hertha BSC v VfL Wolfsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Heidenheim: 1. FC Heidenheim v Hannover 96, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg
  • Referee: Tom Bauer, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Wolfsburg 3 · draws 2 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L · 1. FC Heidenheim 3W 2D 0L

VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.43 / 5.63
Corners
against 7 / 6.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.71 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.86 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.6 yellows
Referee · Tom Bauer, Germany
25.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfL Wolfsburg for / againstLine1. FC Heidenheim for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5our book
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.43 for · 7 against n 7
9.5standard
5.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
19.29 for · 15.86 against n 7
19.5standard
17 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
6.71 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.86 for · 10.71 against n 7
21.5standard
10 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Tom Bauer, Germany — 5.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Zieliński791635 min223.1 /9091.3 /9000 /90
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Zieliński n 790.7
3.17/5

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Wahl791635 min81.1 /90152.1 /9060.9 /90233.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Mæhle690539 min132.2 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90264.3 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
K. Fischer591455 min142.8 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90275.3 /90142.8 /9000 /90
M. Angely491363 min92.2 /9051.2 /9041 /90215.2 /9092.2 /9030.7 /90
S. Kumbedi389268 min62 /9031 /9000 /90113.7 /9072.4 /9010.3 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Wahl n 790.7
0.95/1
0.73/2
J. Föhrenbach
J. Zieliński n 790.7
00/0
0.11/0
—
F. Reese n 786.9
0.62/2
0.64/0
—
Vinicius Souza n 884.3
27/4
0.75/0
J. Schöppner
M. Damar n 772.4
1.15/1
1.86/2
J. Schöppner
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Wahl n 790.7
1.16/2
F. Reese n 786.9
2.26/6
Vinicius Souza n 884.3
2.16/4
M. Damar n 772.4
1.25/2
J. Mæhle n 889.9
2.17/6
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Reese787608 min30.4 /9040.6 /90233.4 /9071 /90233.4 /90152.2 /90
R. Glatzel661363 min41 /9010.2 /90123 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
K. Shiogai639236 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9051.9 /90
A. Bernhardsson583416 min30.6 /9020.4 /90102.2 /9051.1 /90143 /9071.5 /90
F. Hornby257113 min00 /9000 /9032.4 /9021.6 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Wahl n 790.7
0.64/0
0.32/0
J. Zieliński n 790.7
0.11/0
00/0
F. Reese n 786.9
3.47/7
15/2
Vinicius Souza n 884.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
M. Damar n 772.4
2.57/4
1.65/3
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Wahl n 790.7
0.32/0
00/0
J. Zieliński n 790.7
00/0
00/0
F. Reese n 786.9
0.42/1
0.62/1
Vinicius Souza n 884.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Damar n 772.4
0.42/0
00/0
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1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim Goalkeeper

1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Dähne590450 min153 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Frank Feller392277 min82.6 /90123.9 /9000 /90
1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Dähne n 590
34/4
Frank Feller n 883.4
3.45/5

1. FC Heidenheim Defensive

1. FC Heidenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Mainka885682 min121.6 /90162.1 /9081.1 /90455.9 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
J. Föhrenbach791637 min71 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90213 /9030.4 /9000 /90
M. Busch775523 min142.4 /9040.7 /9020.3 /90244.1 /9061 /9000 /90
O. Mhamdi758406 min30.7 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90143.1 /9071.6 /9020.4 /90
M. Heule590450 min224.4 /90132.6 /9030.6 /90367.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Schöppner n 890.9
1.17/2
0.53/1
M. Damar
P. Mainka n 885.3
0.74/1
0.42/1
—
M. Honsak n 854.1
0.42/0
1.54/2
—
J. Föhrenbach n 890.9
0.42/1
0.64/1
H. Wahl
M. Busch n 871
15/1
0.64/0
—
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1. FC Heidenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Schöppner n 890.9
2.58/6
P. Mainka n 885.3
1.66/3
M. Honsak n 854.1
0.84/0
J. Föhrenbach n 890.9
1.24/4
M. Busch n 871
2.47/4
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1. FC Heidenheim Attacking

1. FC Heidenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Honsak854433 min00 /9010.2 /9051 /9020.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
B. Zivzivadze772506 min30.5 /9000 /90112 /9081.4 /9081.4 /9050.9 /90
M. Kaufmann643255 min10.4 /9020.7 /9082.8 /9010.4 /9062.1 /9010.4 /90
A. Vogt466263 min00 /9000 /90103.4 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
M. Pieringer386258 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9010.3 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Schöppner n 890.9
0.95/2
0.65/0
P. Mainka n 885.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
M. Honsak n 854.1
14/1
0.42/0
J. Föhrenbach n 890.9
0.22/0
0.22/0
M. Busch n 871
0.53/0
0.21/0
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1. FC Heidenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Schöppner n 890.9
0.43/0
00/0
P. Mainka n 885.3
00/0
00/0
M. Honsak n 854.1
00/0
0.21/0
J. Föhrenbach n 890.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Busch n 871
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Heidenheim
58%Possession42%
1.60Expected goals (xG)1.98
19Shots23
10Shots on target9
7Shots off target12
2Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box15
8Corners8
1Offsides6
15Fouls9
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Saves7
460Passes316
80%Pass accuracy72%

VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Wahl90000000Y6.3
Cleiton9000000308.3
R. Glatzel9010324008
S. Kumbedi9000210207.3
J. Mæhle9001103307.2
Vinicius Souza9001003407.7
T. Wellenreuther90000000Y9.3
A. Bernhardsson8910323208.5
M. Damar8910640008.2
F. Reese80010031Y7
Y. Gerhardt6400001106.9
E. Rexhbeçaj sub2600210006.6
A. Besio sub10000000Y6.2
Bence Dárdai sub10000000–
K. Shiogai sub10000000–

1. FC Heidenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Schöppner9001112006.5
T. Dähne9000000007
J. Föhrenbach9000000506.7
M. Heule90001027Y6.9
P. Mainka9010311007.3
O. Mhamdi9000210107.2
A. Vogt9000512007.3
M. Kaufmann8900202006.2
P. Hennrich8000006007
J. Niehues6700540007.3
C. Conteh4500112106.7
M. Costly sub4500003106.5
M. Honsak sub2300100006.3
Y. Wagner sub1000000006.5
T. Siersleben sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL WolfsburgWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 3.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
1. FC HeidenheimWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 2 draws · 1. FC Heidenheim 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim
  • 2025-08-23 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2025-03-29 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim
  • 2024-11-10 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2024-01-20 FC Heidenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2023-08-19 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 FC Heidenheim
League standing · 2026/27
VfL Wolfsburg#3 pos19 pts10 pl+11 GD
1. FC Heidenheim#6 pos15 pts10 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
VfL Wolfsburg scored2.5
1. FC Heidenheim scored1.7
VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.4
1. FC Heidenheim conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Heidenheim?
In their last 6 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 3, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Heidenheim?
Recent form — VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L; 1. FC Heidenheim 3W 2D 0L.

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