MacarthurBrisbane Roar

Macarthur v Brisbane Roar result

Full-time · Macarthur 1–2 Brisbane Roar

A-League · · Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Macarthur 1–2 Brisbane Roar — Brisbane Roar won this A-League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Brisbane Roar won 2–1 at Campbelltown Sports Stadium in the A-League on Sunday 8 November. Brisbane Roar have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brisbane Roar: S. Ngor (48’, assisted by George Plusnin) and Justin Vidic (90+5’, assisted by T. Russell); Macarthur: Apostolos Stamatelopoulos (64’, assisted by M. Toure).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Justin Vidic’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Macarthur 0.00, Brisbane Roar 0.00, from 9 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Macarthur move down from third to seventh (four league matches played).

Brisbane Roar stay third after this result (three league matches played).

Brisbane Roar recorded the only away win among the six finished matches of round 4. Macarthur are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Brisbane Roar are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Apostolos Stamatelopoulos (Macarthur) 6.4, M. Toure (Macarthur) 6.3 and S. Ngor (Brisbane Roar) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Macarthur next travel to Wellington Phoenix on 22 November 2026.

Brisbane Roar next host Sydney on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Macarthur: Wellington Phoenix v Macarthur, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Brisbane Roar: Brisbane Roar v Sydney, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Macarthur 1–2 Brisbane Roar · A-League
  • Venue: Campbelltown Sports Stadium · Sydney
  • Referee: Adam Kersey, Australia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Macarthur 4 · draws 1 · Brisbane Roar 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Macarthur 2W 2D 1L · Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L

Macarthur 1–2 Brisbane Roar (A-League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.88
Corners
against 6 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMacarthur for / againstLineBrisbane Roar for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Adam Kersey, Australia.

Macarthur

Macarthur Goalkeeper

Macarthur — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alex Robinson390270 min113.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Macarthur — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alex Robinson n 890
3.66/5

Macarthur Defensive

Macarthur — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Callum Talbot390270 min51.7 /9031 /9000 /90155 /9031 /9000 /90
J. Aspropotamitis390270 min10.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9082.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Nara Tatsuki390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90144.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Nathan Paull390270 min31 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
Liam Rose390270 min113.7 /9051.7 /9031 /90248 /9062 /9010.3 /90
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Macarthur — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Liam Rose n 887.9
1.58/3
1.36/2
Noah Maieroni
Nathan Paull n 390
1.32/1
0.72/0
T. Aldred
J. Aspropotamitis n 490
0.82/1
0.83/0
—
Nara Tatsuki n 390
0.71/1
00/0
T. Aldred
Callum Talbot n 886.6
0.53/1
0.94/1
T. Aldred
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Macarthur — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Liam Rose n 887.9
3.28/7
Nara Tatsuki n 390
1.72/2
Callum Talbot n 886.6
1.25/2
Nathan Paull n 390
12/1
J. Aspropotamitis n 490
0.52/0
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Macarthur Attacking

Macarthur — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Stamatelopoulos372216 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
Ben Gibson346137 min00 /9000 /9032 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
D. Bosnjak344133 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
Ryan Fraser337110 min10.8 /9021.6 /9021.6 /9021.6 /9086.5 /9000 /90
M. Toure32677 min11.2 /9000 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9000 /9011.2 /90
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Macarthur — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Paull n 390
12/1
00/0
Liam Rose n 887.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Aspropotamitis n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
Callum Talbot n 886.6
0.11/0
00/0
Nara Tatsuki n 390
00/0
00/0
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Macarthur — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Aspropotamitis n 490
0.31/0
00/0
Callum Talbot n 886.6
00/0
0.32/0
Nara Tatsuki n 390
00/0
00/0
Alex Robinson n 890
00/0
00/0
Nathan Paull n 390
00/0
00/0
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Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar Goalkeeper

Brisbane Roar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
George Plusnin290180 min00 /9021 /9000 /90

Brisbane Roar Defensive

Brisbane Roar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. King290180 min42 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90136.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
T. Aldred290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90157.5 /9021 /9000 /90
M. Stajic270140 min53.2 /9000 /9021.3 /9095.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Noah Maieroni290180 min105 /9021 /9000 /902110.5 /9063 /9010.5 /90
Tae Hee Nam290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
2.46/6
0.84/2
Liam Rose
Justin Vidic n 865.6
1.77/2
1.56/3
—
T. Aldred n 490
1.33/2
0.82/1
Callum Talbot
M. Stajic n 782.9
1.14/3
1.96/3
—
H. Bility n 872.3
0.64/0
0.53/0
—
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Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
2.87/4
T. Aldred n 490
1.33/2
Justin Vidic n 865.6
0.74/0
M. Stajic n 782.9
1.95/5
H. Bility n 872.3
1.25/3
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Brisbane Roar Attacking

Brisbane Roar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Justin Vidic290180 min10.5 /9000 /9042 /9010.5 /9042 /9031.5 /90
V. Postolachi262123 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
M. Ilic22957 min00 /9000 /9023.2 /9011.6 /9023.2 /9011.6 /90
N. Amanatidis11515 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9016 /9000 /90
Noah Maieroni290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021 /9052.5 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Vidic n 865.6
2.97/4
0.94/1
T. Aldred n 490
12/2
0.52/0
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
0.72/1
0.11/0
M. Stajic n 782.9
1.16/1
0.21/0
H. Bility n 872.3
00/0
00/0
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Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Aldred n 490
0.52/0
00/0
Justin Vidic n 865.6
0.32/0
00/0
Noah Maieroni n 881.1
00/0
00/0
M. Stajic n 782.9
00/0
00/0
H. Bility n 872.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MacarthurBrisbane Roar
52%Possession48%
9Shots7
6Shots on target3
2Shots off target2
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box6
3Corners3
3Offsides7
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
452Passes414
83%Pass accuracy81%

Macarthur Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alex Robinson8500000006.9
Callum Talbot8500112106.9
Nara Tatsuki8500000206.9
Nathan Paull8500100007.3
Liam Rose8500002206.9
C. Pain8500000006.3
M. Toure8501331106.3
A. Stamatelopoulos8510221107.7
Luke Vickery5700001206.7
D. Rose5700000106.5
D. Bosnjak5700000306.7
Ryan Fraser sub2800000006.9
K. Kennedy sub2800101006.3
Ben Gibson sub2800001006.7

Brisbane Roar Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
George Plusnin8501001007
T. Aldred8500000006.9
J. King8500000006.3
T. Russell8500001407.7
Noah Maieroni8500001306.7
Justin Vidic8500220007.3
Tae Hee Nam8300000106.3
T. Francois8300101206.7
S. Ngor71102110Y7.3
V. Postolachi7100001107
M. Stajic40000002Y6.6
H. Bility sub4500000106.5
N. Amanatidis sub14000000Y6.5
M. Ilic sub1400000006.5
E. Durakovic sub20000000–
J. Lauton sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Macarthur v Brisbane Roar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MacarthurLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Brisbane RoarDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Macarthur 4 · 1 draw · Brisbane Roar 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2025-12-19 Macarthur 2–1 Brisbane Roar
  • 2025-10-17 Brisbane Roar 1–0 Macarthur
  • 2025-04-04 Brisbane Roar 1–5 Macarthur
  • 2024-11-30 Macarthur 4–4 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024-03-16 Brisbane Roar 1–2 Macarthur
  • 2024-01-18 Brisbane Roar 1–3 Macarthur
League standing · 2026/27
Macarthur#7 pos5 pts4 pl0 GD
Brisbane Roar#3 pos7 pts3 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Macarthur scored1
Brisbane Roar scored1.67
Macarthur conceded1
Brisbane Roar conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Macarthur v Brisbane Roar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Macarthur v Brisbane Roar was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar?
In their last 6 meetings, Macarthur won 4, Brisbane Roar won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Macarthur and Brisbane Roar?
Recent form — Macarthur 2W 2D 1L; Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L.

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