Macarthur v Brisbane Roar prediction

A-League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT · Campbelltown Stadium

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Macarthur · Brisbane Roar · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Macarthur v Brisbane Roar, A-League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.75 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Macarthur host Brisbane Roar in the A-League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 04:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Brisbane Roar have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Macarthur are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Macarthur’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Macarthur’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Macarthur have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.75.

10 of Brisbane Roar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Brisbane Roar have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.83.

Macarthur (fifth) and Brisbane Roar (seventh) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Macarthur the stronger side, 149 rating points above Brisbane Roar (Macarthur 1530, Brisbane Roar 1382, after at least 163 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 December 2025, finished Macarthur 2–1 Brisbane Roar.

Team news

Predicted Macarthur XI (4-2-3-1): A. Robinson, C. Talbot, J. Aspropotamitis, N. Tatsuki, N. Paull, L. Rose, O. Randazzo, L. Vickery, A. Caceres, C. Pain, A. Stamatelopoulos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Rose (4.6 per match over three appearances) and Nara Tatsuki (2.9 per match over three appearances) have been Macarthur’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Macarthur (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Rose averages 0.0 key passes per 90 over 270 minutes. Nara Tatsuki averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 724 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Brisbane Roar XI (4-4-2): D. Bouzanis, D. Valkanis, Y. Salas, M. Lode, J. King, N. Maieroni, S. Klein, H. Hore, T. Nam, J. Vidic, V. Postolachi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

The referee

A. Kersey takes charge; across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.9 yellow cards a game and 0.07 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 04:00 GMT · A-League · Campbelltown Stadium
Referee: A. Kersey
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Macarthur 4 · draws 1 · Brisbane Roar 1 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Macarthur 2W 2D 1L · Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L

Macarthur v Brisbane Roar (A-League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.25 / 5.88

Corners

against 6 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.86 yellows

Referee · A. Kersey

24.14 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Macarthur for / against	Line	Brisbane Roar for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Kersey — 4.86 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 24.14 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Macarthur

Macarthur Goalkeeper

Macarthur — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alex Robinson	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90

Macarthur — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alex Robinson n 8	90	3.6 6/5

Macarthur Defensive

Macarthur — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Callum Talbot	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90	155 /90	31 /90	00 /90
J. Aspropotamitis	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Nara Tatsuki	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	144.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Nathan Paull	3	90270 min	31 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.7 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
Liam Rose	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	248 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
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Macarthur — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Liam Rose n 8	87.9	1.5 8/3	1.3 6/2	—
Nathan Paull n 3	90	1.3 2/1	0.7 2/0	—
J. Aspropotamitis n 4	90	0.8 2/1	0.8 3/0	—
Nara Tatsuki n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0 0/0	—
Callum Talbot n 8	86.6	0.5 3/1	0.9 4/1	—
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Macarthur — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Liam Rose n 8	87.9	3.2 8/7
Nara Tatsuki n 3	90	1.7 2/2
Callum Talbot n 8	86.6	1.2 5/2
Nathan Paull n 3	90	1 2/1
J. Aspropotamitis n 4	90	0.5 2/0
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Macarthur Attacking

Macarthur — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Stamatelopoulos	3	72216 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90
Ben Gibson	3	46137 min	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90
D. Bosnjak	3	44133 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Ryan Fraser	3	37110 min	10.8 /90	21.6 /90	21.6 /90	21.6 /90	86.5 /90	00 /90
M. Toure	3	2677 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	22.3 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90
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Macarthur — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Paull n 3	90	1 2/1	0 0/0
Liam Rose n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
J. Aspropotamitis n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Callum Talbot n 8	86.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Nara Tatsuki n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Macarthur — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Macarthur before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Aspropotamitis n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Callum Talbot n 8	86.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Nara Tatsuki n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alex Robinson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nathan Paull n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar Goalkeeper

Brisbane Roar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
George Plusnin	2	90180 min	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Brisbane Roar Defensive

Brisbane Roar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. King	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	136.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
T. Aldred	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	157.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. Stajic	2	70140 min	53.2 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	95.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Noah Maieroni	2	90180 min	105 /90	21 /90	00 /90	2110.5 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90
Tae Hee Nam	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	2.4 6/6	0.8 4/2	—
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	1.7 7/2	1.5 6/3	—
T. Aldred n 4	90	1.3 3/2	0.8 2/1	—
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.1 4/3	1.9 6/3	—
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0.6 4/0	0.5 3/0	—
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Brisbane Roar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	2.8 7/4
T. Aldred n 4	90	1.3 3/2
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	0.7 4/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.9 5/5
H. Bility n 8	72.3	1.2 5/3
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Brisbane Roar Attacking

Brisbane Roar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Justin Vidic	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90
V. Postolachi	2	62123 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
M. Ilic	2	2957 min	00 /90	00 /90	23.2 /90	11.6 /90	23.2 /90	11.6 /90
N. Amanatidis	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	00 /90
Noah Maieroni	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	52.5 /90
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Brisbane Roar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	2.9 7/4	0.9 4/1
T. Aldred n 4	90	1 2/2	0.5 2/0
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	0.7 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	1.1 6/1	0.2 1/0
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Brisbane Roar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brisbane Roar before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Aldred n 4	90	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
Justin Vidic n 8	65.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Noah Maieroni n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Stajic n 7	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Bility n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Macarthur v Brisbane Roar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MacarthurLWWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Brisbane RoarDLLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Macarthur 4 · 1 draw · Brisbane Roar 1 · 4.17 goals/game

2025-12-19 Macarthur 2–1 Brisbane Roar
2025-10-17 Brisbane Roar 1–0 Macarthur
2025-04-04 Brisbane Roar 1–5 Macarthur
2024-11-30 Macarthur 4–4 Brisbane Roar
2024-03-16 Brisbane Roar 1–2 Macarthur
2024-01-18 Brisbane Roar 1–3 Macarthur

League standing · 2026/27

Macarthur#5 pos5 pts3 pl+1 GD

Brisbane Roar#7 pos4 pts2 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Macarthur scored1

Brisbane Roar scored1.5

Macarthur conceded0.67

Brisbane Roar conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Macarthur v Brisbane Roar?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Macarthur v Brisbane Roar is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar?: In their last 6 meetings, Macarthur won 4, Brisbane Roar won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Macarthur and Brisbane Roar?: Recent form — Macarthur 2W 2D 1L; Brisbane Roar 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 14:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.