Al-Gharafa v Al-Nassr prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · Tue, 08 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Thani bin Jassim Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Gharafa v Al-Nassr, AFC Champions League Elite on Tue, 08 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Gharafa host Al-Nassr in AFC Champions League Elite on Tuesday 8 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

13 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Al-Gharafa have lost their last six matches in all competitions. Al-Nassr have won their last six matches in all competitions. Al-Nassr have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Al-Gharafa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Al-Gharafa’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Al-Gharafa have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57.

Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Al-Nassr have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.71.

Al-Gharafa (16th) and Al-Nassr (seventh) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 532 rating points above Al-Gharafa (Al-Nassr 1823, Al-Gharafa 1291, after at least 36 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 November 2024, finished Al-Gharafa 1–3 Al-Nassr.

Team news

Predicted Al-Gharafa XI (5-4-1): A. Kone, J. Hyun-Soo, S. Sano, A. Al Oui, A. Surag, S. Fadlalla, F. Díaz, F. Sassi, F. Coman, J. Hamed, Y. Brahimi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Ounas (3.9 per match over three appearances) and S. Sano (3.4 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Al-Gharafa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions.

Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-1-1): Bento, Í. Martínez, N. Boushal, A. Al Amri, A. Aman, S. Mané, S. Costa, A. Al Khaibari, Ângelo, J. Félix, C. Ronaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, João Félix (6.4 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and 10 assists) and S. Mané (5.5 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and seven assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Félix averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1697 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. S. Mané averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1626 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 08 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · AFC Champions League Elite · Thani bin Jassim Stadium
Head-to-head (last 1): Al-Gharafa 0 · draws 0 · Al-Nassr 1 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Al-Gharafa 0W 0D 5L · Al-Nassr 5W 0D 0L

Al-Gharafa v Al-Nassr (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 2.75

Goals

against 2.75 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6.75

Corners

against 6.38 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Al-Gharafa for / against	Line	Al-Nassr for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa Goalkeeper

Al-Gharafa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Kone	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90

Al-Gharafa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Gharafa before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Kone n 4	90	1.5 1/1

Al-Gharafa Defensive

Al-Gharafa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ayoub Al Oui	4	79315 min	51.4 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla	4	79315 min	51.4 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	102.9 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi	4	68272 min	113.6 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	175.6 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
Jang Hyun-Soo	3	90270 min	31 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
S. Sano	3	81242 min	83 /90	62.2 /90	00 /90	155.6 /90	62.2 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Al-Gharafa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Gharafa before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Kone n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
F. Díaz n 8	83.9	1.3 7/3	1.5 7/3	—
F. Sassi n 8	82	1.9 5/3	0.5 3/1	—
Ayoub Al Oui n 8	75.5	1 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla n 8	67	1 5/1	0.5 3/0	—
See more players · Pro

Al-Gharafa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Gharafa before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Díaz n 8	83.9	3 8/7
F. Sassi n 8	82	2.9 6/5
Ayoub Al Oui n 8	75.5	2.1 7/4
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla n 8	67	1.5 6/2
Abdulrahman Faiz Al Rashidi n 4	68	3.6 3/2
See more players · Pro

Al-Gharafa Attacking

Al-Gharafa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Coman	4	41162 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	31.7 /90
F. Magri	3	64192 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Y. Brahimi	3	57172 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	94.7 /90	42.1 /90
A. Hassan	3	36109 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	54.1 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
F. Díaz	4	88352 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Al-Gharafa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Gharafa before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Kone n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Díaz n 8	83.9	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
F. Sassi n 8	82	1.1 5/3	0.5 3/1
Ayoub Al Oui n 8	75.5	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla n 8	67	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Al-Gharafa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Gharafa before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Kone n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Díaz n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Sassi n 8	82	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Ayoub Al Oui n 8	75.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla n 8	67	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr Goalkeeper

Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Bento	10	90900 min	131.3 /90	40.4 /90
Nawaf Al Aqidi	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	31 /90
A. Al Otaibi	1	7474 min	22.4 /90	22.4 /90

Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Nassr before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Bento n 8	90	1.1 2/1
Nawaf Al Aqidi n 8	86.3	2 5/2

Al-Nassr Defensive

Al-Nassr — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nawaf Boushal	14	881231 min	342.5 /90	211.5 /90	20.1 /90	654.8 /90	171.2 /90	00 /90
Íñigo Martínez	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90	393.3 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
Abdulelah Al Amri	9	86773 min	161.9 /90	121.4 /90	30.3 /90	384.4 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
M. Simakan	9	83747 min	81 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90	374.5 /90	101.2 /90	00 /90
Salem Al Najdi	5	80402 min	61.3 /90	102.2 /90	30.7 /90	204.5 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Nassr before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nawaf Boushal n 8	86.4	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0	—
S. Mané n 8	86.5	1.4 5/4	1 6/2	—
João Félix n 8	85.6	1.1 5/3	2.5 6/4	—
Ângelo n 8	68.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 5/0	—
Íñigo Martínez n 8	90	1 5/2	1.3 6/3	—
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Nassr before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nawaf Boushal n 8	86.4	2.5 7/7
S. Mané n 8	86.5	1.3 5/3
João Félix n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1
Ângelo n 8	68.3	0.5 2/1
Íñigo Martínez n 8	90	1 5/2
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr Attacking

Al-Nassr — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Félix	13	851106 min	50.4 /90	100.8 /90	322.6 /90	181.5 /90	423.4 /90	161.3 /90
Cristiano Ronaldo	12	80963 min	90.8 /90	00 /90	423.9 /90	201.9 /90	100.9 /90	40.4 /90
Abdullah Al Hamdan	10	53532 min	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	152.5 /90	61 /90	111.9 /90	10.2 /90
R. Al Ghamdi	2	3467 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90
Abdulrahman Ghareeb	2	3161 min	11.5 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	11.5 /90	11.5 /90	23 /90
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Nassr before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nawaf Boushal n 8	86.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Mané n 8	86.5	1.2 6/3	0.4 2/1
João Félix n 8	85.6	2.4 8/7	0.9 4/3
Ângelo n 8	68.3	1.8 7/3	1.2 6/1
Íñigo Martínez n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Al-Nassr — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Nassr before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nawaf Boushal n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Mané n 8	86.5	0.1 1/0	0.7 4/1
João Félix n 8	85.6	0.4 2/1	1.1 4/2
Ângelo n 8	68.3	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
Íñigo Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Al-Gharafa v Al-Nassr — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Al-GharafaLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Al-NassrWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Al-Gharafa 0 · 0 draws · Al-Nassr 1 · 4 goals/game

2024-11-25 Al-Gharafa 1–3 Al-Nassr

League standing · 2026/27

Al-Gharafa#16 pos0 pts4 pl-8 GD

Al-Nassr#7 pos6 pts3 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Al-Gharafa scored0.75

Al-Nassr scored3

Al-Gharafa conceded2.75

Al-Nassr conceded2.33

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Al-Gharafa and Al-Nassr?: In their last 1 meetings, Al-Gharafa won 0, Al-Nassr won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Gharafa and Al-Nassr?: Recent form — Al-Gharafa 0W 0D 5L; Al-Nassr 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.