AlgeriaTogo

Algeria v Togo prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away team goals — Away under 2 5 the free pick for Algeria v Togo, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away team goals — Away under 2 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away team goals — Away under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 85.1% of 5218 landed (95% range 84.1–86%); it had given them 81.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Algeria host Togo in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Togo team goals — Away under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

10 of Algeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Algeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Algeria have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.00.

Four of Togo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Togo’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Togo have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.86.

Algeria (first) and Togo (third) are 11 points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Algeria the stronger side, 282 rating points above Togo (Algeria 1868, Togo 1585, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Algeria are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Togo, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2024, finished Togo 0–1 Algeria.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Algeria 4 · draws 0 · Togo 0 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Algeria 1W 1D 3L · Togo 1W 1D 3L

Algeria v Togo (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.29 / 0
Corners
against 3.43 / 0 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3.71 / 0
Shots on target
against 4 / 0 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.57 / 0.67
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAlgeria for / againstLineTogo for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.29 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
10.43 for · 10.71 against n 7
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
3.71 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
13 for · 12.43 against n 7
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
0.67 for · 1.67 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Algeria v Togo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AlgeriaLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
TogoLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Algeria 4 · 0 draws · Togo 0 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2024-10-14 Togo 0–1 Algeria
  • 2024-10-10 Algeria 5–1 Togo
  • 2018-11-18 Togo 1–4 Algeria
  • 2017-06-11 Algeria 1–0 Togo
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Algeria#1 pos16 pts6 pl+14 GD
Togo#3 pos5 pts6 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Algeria scored2.67
Togo scored1.17
Algeria conceded0.33
Togo conceded1.67

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Algeria v Togo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Algeria v Togo is Away team goals — Away under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Algeria and Togo?
In their last 4 meetings, Algeria won 4, Togo won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Algeria and Togo?
Recent form — Algeria 1W 1D 3L; Togo 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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