Cape Verde IslandsLiberia

Cape Verde Islands v Liberia prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Cape Verde Islands v Liberia, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 54.9% of 144 landed (95% range 46.7–62.8%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cape Verde Islands host Liberia in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Cape Verde Islands are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Liberia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Cape Verde Islands have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.29.

Seven of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Liberia have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75.

Cape Verde Islands (fourth) and Liberia (fourth) are level on points, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cape Verde Islands the stronger side, 75 rating points above Liberia (Cape Verde Islands 1495, Liberia 1420, after at least 14 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2021, finished Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cape Verde Islands 2 · draws 0 · Liberia 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L · Liberia 2W 2D 1L

Cape Verde Islands v Liberia (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 0
Corners
against 4 / 0 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 3 matches
1.17 / 0
Shots on target
against 2 / 0 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.17 / 1.67 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCape Verde Islands for / againstLineLiberia for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
1.5 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
5.5 for · 8.5 against n 6
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
1.17 for · 2 against n 6
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
2.5 for · 6.17 against n 6
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1.67 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cape Verde Islands v Liberia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Cape Verde IslandsWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
LiberiaWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cape Verde Islands 2 · 0 draws · Liberia 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2021-10-10 Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia
  • 2021-10-07 Liberia 1–2 Cape Verde Islands
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Cape Verde Islands#4 pos4 pts6 pl-4 GD
Liberia#4 pos4 pts6 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Cape Verde Islands scored0.5
Liberia scored0.67
Cape Verde Islands conceded1.17
Liberia conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Cape Verde Islands v Liberia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cape Verde Islands v Liberia is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Cape Verde Islands and Liberia?
In their last 2 meetings, Cape Verde Islands won 2, Liberia won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cape Verde Islands and Liberia?
Recent form — Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L; Liberia 2W 2D 1L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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