Cape Verde Islands v Liberia prediction
Team pages: Cape Verde Islands · Liberia
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Cape Verde Islands v Liberia, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.
The match
Cape Verde Islands host Liberia in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday 13 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Cape Verde Islands are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Liberia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Cape Verde Islands have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.29.
Seven of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Liberia have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.75.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cape Verde Islands the stronger side, 75 rating points above Liberia (Cape Verde Islands 1495, Liberia 1420, after at least 14 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2021, finished Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
- Model coverage: 146 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Cape Verde Islands 2 · draws 0 · Liberia 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L · Liberia 2W 2D 1L
Cape Verde Islands v Liberia (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cape Verde Islands for / against | Line | Liberia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 1.5 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots | 5.5 for · 8.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 1.17 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 2.5 for · 6.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.67 against n 3 Last 5 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cape Verde Islands v Liberia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-10-10 Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia
- 2021-10-07 Liberia 1–2 Cape Verde Islands
Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off
- Cape Verde Islands: Elo rating 1495, falling over the last five rated matches.
- Liberia: Elo rating 1420, falling over the last five rated matches.
Cape Verde Islands are rated 75 points higher.
Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Cape Verde Islands v Liberia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cape Verde Islands v Liberia is Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.85 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cape Verde Islands and Liberia?
- In their last 2 meetings, Cape Verde Islands won 2, Liberia won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cape Verde Islands and Liberia?
- Recent form — Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L; Liberia 2W 2D 1L.
Today’s Boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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