Congo DRSierra Leone

Congo DR v Sierra Leone prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · · Stade des Martyrs

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Congo DR v Sierra Leone, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 4.33 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 4 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Congo DR host Sierra Leone in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Sierra Leone, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Congo DR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Congo DR’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Congo DR have four wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 2.40 points per game, scoring 1.60 and conceding 0.80.

Six of Sierra Leone’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Sierra Leone’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Sierra Leone have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.86.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Congo DR the stronger side, 199 rating points above Sierra Leone (Congo DR 1646, Sierra Leone 1447, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 September 2022, finished Congo DR 3–0 Sierra Leone.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Stade des Martyrs
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Congo DR 1 · draws 0 · Sierra Leone 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Congo DR 2W 1D 2L · Sierra Leone 2W 1D 2L

Congo DR v Sierra Leone (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 0
Corners
against 4 / 0 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3 / 0
Shots on target
against 3.67 / 0 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1 / 1
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCongo DR for / againstLineSierra Leone for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
12.67 for · 10.5 against n 6
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
3 for · 3.67 against n 6
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.83 against n 6
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1 for · 1.5 against n 6
3.5standard
1 for · 1.33 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Congo DR v Sierra Leone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Congo DRWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Sierra LeoneLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Congo DR 1 · 0 draws · Sierra Leone 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-09-27 Congo DR 3–0 Sierra Leone
Goals per game
Congo DR scored1.2
Sierra Leone scored1
Congo DR conceded1
Sierra Leone conceded0.8

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Congo DR v Sierra Leone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Congo DR v Sierra Leone is Draw or Away (best price 4.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Congo DR and Sierra Leone?
In their last 1 meetings, Congo DR won 1, Sierra Leone won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Congo DR and Sierra Leone?
Recent form — Congo DR 2W 1D 2L; Sierra Leone 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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