Egypt v Malawi prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Egypt v Malawi, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.
The match
Egypt host Malawi in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday 13 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Egypt have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of Egypt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Egypt’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Egypt have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71.
Seven of Malawi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Malawi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Malawi have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.50.
Egypt are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Egypt the stronger side, 322 rating points above Malawi (Egypt 1824, Malawi 1502, after at least 18 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2023, finished Malawi 0–4 Egypt.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Cairo International Stadium
- Model coverage: 146 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Egypt 2 · draws 0 · Malawi 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Egypt 1W 3D 1L · Malawi 1W 1D 3L
Egypt v Malawi (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Egypt v Malawi — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-03-28 Malawi 0–4 Egypt
- 2023-03-24 Egypt 2–0 Malawi
Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off
- Egypt: Elo rating 1824, falling over the last five rated matches.
- Malawi: Elo rating 1502, rising over the last five rated matches.
Egypt are rated 322 points higher.
Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Egypt v Malawi?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Egypt v Malawi is Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.20 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Egypt and Malawi?
- In their last 2 meetings, Egypt won 2, Malawi won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Egypt and Malawi?
- Recent form — Egypt 1W 3D 1L; Malawi 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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