Equatorial GuineaZimbabwe

Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 1454 landed (95% range 65.9–70.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Equatorial Guinea host Zimbabwe in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Zimbabwe, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Equatorial Guinea are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Zimbabwe are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Equatorial Guinea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Equatorial Guinea’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Equatorial Guinea have three wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 0.89.

Five of Zimbabwe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Zimbabwe’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Zimbabwe have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.00.

Equatorial Guinea (second) and Zimbabwe (second) are one point apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Zimbabwe the stronger side, 18 rating points above Equatorial Guinea (Zimbabwe 1523, Equatorial Guinea 1506, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Equatorial Guinea XI (4-4-2): J. Owono, E. Obiang, S. Coco, M. Anieboh, C. Akapo, O. Mascarell, P. Ganet, J. Machín, Á. Balboa, L. Zúñiga, E. Nsue — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Zimbabwe XI (4-4-2): W. Arubi, J. Takwara, D. Lunga, M. Garananga, B. Galloway, M. Nakamba, J. Fabisch, P. Dube, B. Antonio, M. Bonne, T. Chirewa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Equatorial Guinea 0W 1D 4L · Zimbabwe 0W 2D 3L

Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.67
Corners
against 3.4 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
1.4 / 2
Shots on target
against 2.6 / 4.83 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.6 / 2.67
Cards
against 2.8 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 December 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEquatorial Guinea for / againstLineZimbabwe for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
2 for · 3.4 against n 5
9.5standard
2.67 for · 5 against n 6
Shots
5.8 for · 9 against n 5
19.5standard
6.83 for · 15 against n 6
Shots on target
1.4 for · 2.6 against n 5
8.5standard
2 for · 4.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
7.8 for · 8.2 against n 5
21.5standard
11.5 for · 9.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.6 for · 2.8 against n 5
3.5standard
2.67 for · 2.5 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Equatorial GuineaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ZimbabweDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Equatorial Guinea#2 pos8 pts6 pl-3 GD
Zimbabwe#2 pos9 pts6 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Equatorial Guinea scored0.83
Zimbabwe scored1
Equatorial Guinea conceded1.33
Zimbabwe conceded0.67

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Equatorial Guinea v Zimbabwe is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Equatorial Guinea and Zimbabwe?
Recent form — Equatorial Guinea 0W 1D 4L; Zimbabwe 0W 2D 3L.

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