Gabon v Lesotho prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Gabon v Lesotho, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.
The match
Gabon host Lesotho in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gabon to win.
The key numbers
Gabon have lost their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Gabon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Gabon’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Gabon have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38.
Five of Lesotho’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Lesotho’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Lesotho have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.29.
Gabon (second) and Lesotho (third) are six points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gabon the stronger side, 226 rating points above Lesotho (Gabon 1488, Lesotho 1262, after at least 18 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 October 2024, finished Lesotho 0–2 Gabon.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Gabon 1 · draws 1 · Lesotho 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Gabon 1W 0D 4L · Lesotho 1W 1D 3L
Gabon v Lesotho (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gabon for / against | Line | Lesotho for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 1.83 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 0 for · 1.25 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots | 6.17 for · 7.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 2 for · 2 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 0.5 for · 1.5 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 5.83 for · 7.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 3.75 for · 2.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.83 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Gabon v Lesotho — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-10-15 Lesotho 0–2 Gabon
- 2024-10-11 Gabon 0–0 Lesotho
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Gabon v Lesotho?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Gabon v Lesotho is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gabon and Lesotho?
- In their last 2 meetings, Gabon won 1, Lesotho won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Gabon and Lesotho?
- Recent form — Gabon 1W 0D 4L; Lesotho 1W 1D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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