GhanaSomalia

Ghana v Somalia prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Ghana v Somalia, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 54.9% of 144 landed (95% range 46.7–62.8%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ghana host Somalia in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Somalia have failed to score in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Ghana have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.33.

10 of Somalia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Somalia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Somalia have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 2.00.

Ghana are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Somalia are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Ghana 2W 1D 2L · Somalia 0W 0D 5L

Ghana v Somalia (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.25
Goals
against 0.5 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.33 / 0
Corners
against 2.83 / 0 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
0.67 / 0
Shots on target
against 3.17 / 0 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.5 / 1
Cards
against 1.33 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGhana for / againstLineSomalia for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
1.33 for · 2.83 against n 6
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
4 for · 9.67 against n 6
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
0.67 for · 3.17 against n 6
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
9.33 for · 8 against n 6
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
1 for · 1.33 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ghana v Somalia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GhanaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
SomaliaLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Ghana#4 pos3 pts6 pl-4 GD
SomaliaNot in this league table
Goals per game
Ghana scored0.5
Somalia scored0
Ghana conceded1.17
Somalia conceded2.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ghana v Somalia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ghana v Somalia is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Ghana and Somalia?
Recent form — Ghana 2W 1D 2L; Somalia 0W 0D 5L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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