Guinea-BissauMadagascar

Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Guinea-Bissau host Madagascar in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Guinea-Bissau or Madagascar (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Guinea-Bissau have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 0.78 and conceding 0.78.

Eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Madagascar have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Guinea-Bissau the stronger side, 218 rating points above Madagascar (Guinea-Bissau 1509, Madagascar 1291, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L · Madagascar 3W 0D 2L

Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Guinea-BissauLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
MadagascarLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Guinea-Bissau scored0.8
Madagascar scored1.6
Guinea-Bissau conceded1
Madagascar conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Guinea-Bissau v Madagascar is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Guinea-Bissau and Madagascar?
Recent form — Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L; Madagascar 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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