Ivory CoastGambia

Ivory Coast v Gambia prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Ivory Coast v Gambia, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ivory Coast host Gambia in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Ivory Coast have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Ivory Coast’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Ivory Coast’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Ivory Coast have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.38.

Nine of Gambia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Gambia’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Gambia have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.00.

Ivory Coast (second) and Gambia (third) are four points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ivory Coast the stronger side, 110 rating points above Gambia (Ivory Coast 1675, Gambia 1565, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 March 2025, finished Ivory Coast 1–0 Gambia.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Ivory Coast 2 · draws 0 · Gambia 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ivory Coast 2W 0D 3L · Gambia 3W 0D 2L

Ivory Coast v Gambia (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 0
Corners
against 3.75 / 0 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
3.63 / 0
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 0 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.25 / 2.33
Cards
against 1.25 / 3.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 June 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameIvory Coast for / againstLineGambia for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
14.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.33 for · 3.67 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ivory Coast v Gambia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ivory CoastLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
GambiaLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Ivory Coast 2 · 0 draws · Gambia 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-24 Ivory Coast 1–0 Gambia
  • 2023-11-20 Gambia 0–2 Ivory Coast
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Ivory Coast#2 pos12 pts6 pl+9 GD
Gambia#3 pos8 pts6 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Ivory Coast scored2
Gambia scored1
Ivory Coast conceded0.5
Gambia conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ivory Coast v Gambia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ivory Coast v Gambia is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ivory Coast and Gambia?
In their last 2 meetings, Ivory Coast won 2, Gambia won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ivory Coast and Gambia?
Recent form — Ivory Coast 2W 0D 3L; Gambia 3W 0D 2L.

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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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