Lesotho v Gabon prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Lesotho v Gabon, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.
The match
Lesotho host Gabon in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Gabon, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Gabon have lost their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Five of Lesotho’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Lesotho’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Lesotho have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.38 and conceding 1.13.
Eight of Gabon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Gabon’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Gabon have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.29.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gabon the stronger side, 226 rating points above Lesotho (Gabon 1488, Lesotho 1262, after at least 18 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 October 2024, finished Lesotho 0–2 Gabon.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Peter Mokaba Stadium
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Lesotho 0 · draws 1 · Gabon 1 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Lesotho 1W 1D 3L · Gabon 1W 0D 4L
Lesotho v Gabon (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lesotho for / against | Line | Gabon for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 0 for · 1.25 against n 4 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 1.83 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 2 for · 2 against n 4 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 6.17 for · 7.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 0.5 for · 1.5 against n 4 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 3.75 for · 2.75 against n 4 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 5.83 for · 7.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.83 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Lesotho v Gabon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-10-15 Lesotho 0–2 Gabon
- 2024-10-11 Gabon 0–0 Lesotho
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Lesotho v Gabon?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lesotho v Gabon is Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Lesotho and Gabon?
- In their last 2 meetings, Lesotho won 0, Gabon won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lesotho and Gabon?
- Recent form — Lesotho 1W 1D 3L; Gabon 1W 0D 4L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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