LiberiaCape Verde Islands

Liberia v Cape Verde Islands prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Liberia v Cape Verde Islands, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Liberia host Cape Verde Islands in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Liberia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Liberia have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14.

Five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Cape Verde Islands’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Cape Verde Islands have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38.

Liberia are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Cape Verde Islands are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cape Verde Islands the stronger side, 75 rating points above Liberia (Cape Verde Islands 1495, Liberia 1420, after at least 14 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2021, finished Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 146 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Liberia 0 · draws 0 · Cape Verde Islands 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liberia 2W 2D 1L · Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L

Liberia v Cape Verde Islands (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
0 / 1.5
Corners
against 0 / 4 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
0 / 1.17
Shots on target
against 0 / 2 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.67 / 2.17 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
146
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLiberia for / againstLineCape Verde Islands for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
0 for · 0 against n 3
9.5standard
1.5 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
0 for · 0 against n 3
19.5standard
5.5 for · 8.5 against n 6
Shots on target
0 for · 0 against n 3
8.5standard
1.17 for · 2 against n 6
Fouls committed
0 for · 0 against n 3
21.5standard
2.5 for · 6.17 against n 6
Cards shown
2 for · 1.67 against n 3
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.17 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liberia v Cape Verde Islands — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiberiaWLDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Cape Verde IslandsWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Liberia 0 · 0 draws · Cape Verde Islands 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2021-10-10 Cape Verde Islands 1–0 Liberia
  • 2021-10-07 Liberia 1–2 Cape Verde Islands
Goals per game
Liberia scored1.6
Cape Verde Islands scored1.4
Liberia conceded1.6
Cape Verde Islands conceded1

Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off

  • Liberia: Elo rating 1420, falling over the last five rated matches.
  • Cape Verde Islands: Elo rating 1495, falling over the last five rated matches.

Cape Verde Islands are rated 75 points higher.

Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 146 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Liberia v Cape Verde Islands?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liberia v Cape Verde Islands is Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Liberia and Cape Verde Islands?
In their last 2 meetings, Liberia won 0, Cape Verde Islands won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liberia and Cape Verde Islands?
Recent form — Liberia 2W 2D 1L; Cape Verde Islands 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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