MadagascarGuinea-Bissau

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Madagascar host Guinea-Bissau in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Madagascar or Guinea-Bissau (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Madagascar have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25.

Four of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Guinea-Bissau have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.50.

Madagascar (fourth) and Guinea-Bissau (third) are three points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Guinea-Bissau the stronger side, 218 rating points above Madagascar (Guinea-Bissau 1509, Madagascar 1291, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Madagascar 3W 0D 2L · Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MadagascarLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Guinea-BissauLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Madagascar#4 pos2 pts6 pl-4 GD
Guinea-Bissau#3 pos5 pts6 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Madagascar scored0.67
Guinea-Bissau scored0.67
Madagascar conceded1.33
Guinea-Bissau conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau is Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau?
Recent form — Madagascar 3W 0D 2L; Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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