MadagascarGuinea-Bissau

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · · George V Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 4 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Madagascar host Guinea-Bissau in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Madagascar or Guinea-Bissau (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Madagascar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Madagascar have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25.

Four of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Guinea-Bissau’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Guinea-Bissau have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.50.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Guinea-Bissau the stronger side, 218 rating points above Madagascar (Guinea-Bissau 1509, Madagascar 1291, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · George V Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Madagascar 3W 0D 2L · Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L

Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MadagascarLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Guinea-BissauLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Goals per game
Madagascar scored1.6
Guinea-Bissau scored0.8
Madagascar conceded1.8
Guinea-Bissau conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau?
Recent form — Madagascar 3W 0D 2L; Guinea-Bissau 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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