Malawi v Egypt prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Malawi v Egypt, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.
The match
Malawi host Egypt in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Egypt have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Malawi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Malawi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Malawi have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29.
Six of Egypt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Egypt’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Egypt have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.88.
Egypt are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Egypt the stronger side, 322 rating points above Malawi (Egypt 1824, Malawi 1502, after at least 18 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2023, finished Malawi 0–4 Egypt.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Bingu National Stadium
- Model coverage: 146 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Malawi 0 · draws 0 · Egypt 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Malawi 1W 1D 3L · Egypt 1W 3D 1L
Malawi v Egypt (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Malawi v Egypt — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-03-28 Malawi 0–4 Egypt
- 2023-03-24 Egypt 2–0 Malawi
Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off
- Malawi: Elo rating 1502, rising over the last five rated matches.
- Egypt: Elo rating 1824, falling over the last five rated matches.
Egypt are rated 322 points higher.
Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Malawi v Egypt?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Malawi v Egypt is Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Malawi and Egypt?
- In their last 2 meetings, Malawi won 0, Egypt won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Malawi and Egypt?
- Recent form — Malawi 1W 1D 3L; Egypt 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.