MoroccoNiger

Morocco v Niger prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Morocco v Niger, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Morocco host Niger in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Morocco or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Morocco have four wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 2.60 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 0.60.

Six of Niger’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Niger’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Niger have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.43.

Niger have won their last three matches in all competitions. Morocco (first) and Niger (third) are 11 points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Morocco the stronger side, 371 rating points above Niger (Morocco 1845, Niger 1474, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Morocco are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Niger, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2025, finished Morocco 5–0 Niger.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Morocco 3 · draws 0 · Niger 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Morocco 3W 1D 1L · Niger 3W 0D 2L

Morocco v Niger (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 0
Corners
against 4.8 / 0 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 3 matches
4 / 0
Shots on target
against 3.4 / 0 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.2 / 2.67
Cards
against 2 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMorocco for / againstLineNiger for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.8 against n 5
9.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots
11.2 for · 11.8 against n 5
19.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Shots on target
4 for · 3.4 against n 5
8.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Fouls committed
11.8 for · 15.6 against n 5
21.5standard
0 for · 0 against n 3
Cards shown
1.2 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
2.67 for · 1.33 against n 3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Morocco v Niger — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoroccoWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
NigerLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Morocco 3 · 0 draws · Niger 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-09-05 Morocco 5–0 Niger
  • 2025-03-21 Niger 1–2 Morocco
  • 2019-09-10 Morocco 1–0 Niger
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Morocco#1 pos18 pts6 pl+24 GD
Niger#3 pos7 pts6 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Morocco scored4.33
Niger scored1.17
Morocco conceded0.33
Niger conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Morocco v Niger?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Morocco v Niger is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Morocco and Niger?
In their last 3 meetings, Morocco won 3, Niger won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Morocco and Niger?
Recent form — Morocco 3W 1D 1L; Niger 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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