Mozambique v Ethiopia prediction
Team pages: Mozambique · Ethiopia
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Mozambique v Ethiopia, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.
The match
Mozambique host Ethiopia in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Ethiopia, a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
10 of Mozambique’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Mozambique’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Mozambique have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.14.
Six of Ethiopia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Ethiopia’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Ethiopia have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63.
Mozambique (second) and Ethiopia (fourth) are seven points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mozambique the stronger side, 313 rating points above Ethiopia (Mozambique 1674, Ethiopia 1361, after at least 18 rated matches each).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Mozambique 2W 0D 3L · Ethiopia 2W 0D 3L
Mozambique v Ethiopia (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Mozambique for / against | Line | Ethiopia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 1.29 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots | 4.14 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 1.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 5.14 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.86 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.67 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Mozambique v Ethiopia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Mozambique v Ethiopia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Mozambique v Ethiopia is Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Mozambique and Ethiopia?
- Recent form — Mozambique 2W 0D 3L; Ethiopia 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.