NigerMorocco

Niger v Morocco prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · · Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Niger v Morocco, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Niger host Morocco in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Morocco, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Six of Niger’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Niger’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Niger have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13.

Four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Morocco’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Morocco have six wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.10 points per game, scoring 1.60 and conceding 0.40.

Niger have won their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Morocco the stronger side, 371 rating points above Niger (Morocco 1845, Niger 1474, after at least 16 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Morocco are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Niger, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2025, finished Morocco 5–0 Niger.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Niger 0 · draws 0 · Morocco 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Niger 3W 0D 2L · Morocco 3W 1D 1L

Niger v Morocco (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
0 / 4
Corners
against 0 / 4.8 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
0 / 4
Shots on target
against 0 / 3.4 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
2.67 / 1.2
Cards
against 1.33 / 2 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNiger for / againstLineMorocco for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
0 for · 0 against n 3
9.5standard
4 for · 4.8 against n 5
Shots
0 for · 0 against n 3
19.5standard
11.2 for · 11.8 against n 5
Shots on target
0 for · 0 against n 3
8.5standard
4 for · 3.4 against n 5
Fouls committed
0 for · 0 against n 3
21.5standard
11.8 for · 15.6 against n 5
Cards shown
2.67 for · 1.33 against n 3
3.5standard
1.2 for · 2 against n 5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Niger v Morocco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NigerLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MoroccoWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Niger 0 · 0 draws · Morocco 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-09-05 Morocco 5–0 Niger
  • 2025-03-21 Niger 1–2 Morocco
  • 2019-09-10 Morocco 1–0 Niger
Goals per game
Niger scored1.2
Morocco scored1.8
Niger conceded1.6
Morocco conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Niger v Morocco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Niger v Morocco is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Niger and Morocco?
In their last 3 meetings, Niger won 0, Morocco won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Niger and Morocco?
Recent form — Niger 3W 0D 2L; Morocco 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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