NigeriaTanzania

Nigeria v Tanzania prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Nigeria v Tanzania, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nigeria host Tanzania in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Nigeria or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Nigeria are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Tanzania are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Nigeria have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Nigeria have six wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 0.67.

Both teams scored in five of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Tanzania have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.00.

Nigeria (first) and Tanzania (second) are one point apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tanzania the stronger side, 49 rating points above Nigeria (Tanzania 1639, Nigeria 1590, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 December 2025, finished Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Nigeria 1 · draws 0 · Tanzania 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nigeria 3W 2D 0L · Tanzania 0W 2D 3L

Nigeria v Tanzania (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.5
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.4 / 1.83
Corners
against 3.2 / 3.17 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
7.2 / 1.17
Shots on target
against 1.2 / 3.83 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.6 / 2 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 January 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNigeria for / againstLineTanzania for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.4 for · 3.2 against n 5
9.5standard
1.83 for · 3.17 against n 6
Shots
16.8 for · 6.6 against n 5
19.5standard
5.17 for · 8.83 against n 6
Shots on target
7.2 for · 1.2 against n 5
8.5standard
1.17 for · 3.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
18.2 for · 12.8 against n 5
21.5standard
8.5 for · 10.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.4 for · 1.6 against n 5
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nigeria v Tanzania — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NigeriaWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
TanzaniaLLDDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Nigeria 1 · 0 draws · Tanzania 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-23 Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Nigeria#1 pos11 pts6 pl+6 GD
Tanzania#2 pos10 pts6 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Nigeria scored1.5
Tanzania scored0.83
Nigeria conceded0.5
Tanzania conceded0.67

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nigeria v Tanzania?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nigeria v Tanzania is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Nigeria and Tanzania?
In their last 1 meetings, Nigeria won 1, Tanzania won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nigeria and Tanzania?
Recent form — Nigeria 3W 2D 0L; Tanzania 0W 2D 3L.

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