NigeriaTanzania

Nigeria v Tanzania prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · · Godswill Akpabio International Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Nigeria v Tanzania, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.03 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 4 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nigeria host Tanzania in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Friday 13 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Nigeria or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Nigeria are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Tanzania are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Nigeria have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Nigeria have six wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 0.67.

Both teams scored in five of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Tanzania have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tanzania the stronger side, 49 rating points above Nigeria (Tanzania 1639, Nigeria 1590, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 December 2025, finished Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Godswill Akpabio International Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Nigeria 1 · draws 0 · Tanzania 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nigeria 3W 2D 0L · Tanzania 0W 2D 3L

Nigeria v Tanzania (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.5
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.4 / 1.83
Corners
against 3.2 / 3.17 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
7.2 / 1.17
Shots on target
against 1.2 / 3.83 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.6 / 2 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 January 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNigeria for / againstLineTanzania for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
3our book
0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.4 for · 3.2 against n 5
9.5standard
1.83 for · 3.17 against n 6
Shots
16.8 for · 6.6 against n 5
19.5standard
5.17 for · 8.83 against n 6
Shots on target
7.2 for · 1.2 against n 5
8.5standard
1.17 for · 3.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
18.2 for · 12.8 against n 5
21.5standard
8.5 for · 10.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.4 for · 1.6 against n 5
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nigeria v Tanzania — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NigeriaWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
TanzaniaLLDDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Nigeria 1 · 0 draws · Tanzania 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-23 Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania
Goals per game
Nigeria scored1.8
Tanzania scored0.6
Nigeria conceded0.2
Tanzania conceded1.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nigeria v Tanzania?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nigeria v Tanzania is Home or Draw (best price 1.03 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Nigeria and Tanzania?
In their last 1 meetings, Nigeria won 1, Tanzania won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nigeria and Tanzania?
Recent form — Nigeria 3W 2D 0L; Tanzania 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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