Sierra LeoneCongo DR

Sierra Leone v Congo DR prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Sierra Leone v Congo DR, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sierra Leone host Congo DR in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sierra Leone or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Six of Sierra Leone’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Sierra Leone’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Sierra Leone have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.88.

Five of Congo DR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Congo DR’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Congo DR have four wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.30 and conceding 0.80.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Congo DR the stronger side, 199 rating points above Sierra Leone (Congo DR 1646, Sierra Leone 1447, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 September 2022, finished Congo DR 3–0 Sierra Leone.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Sierra Leone 0 · draws 0 · Congo DR 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sierra Leone 2W 1D 2L · Congo DR 2W 1D 2L

Sierra Leone v Congo DR (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
0 / 3
Corners
against 0 / 4 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
0 / 3
Shots on target
against 0 / 3.67 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1 / 1
Cards
against 1.33 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSierra Leone for / againstLineCongo DR for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
0 for · 0 against n 3
9.5standard
3 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
0 for · 0 against n 3
19.5standard
12.67 for · 10.5 against n 6
Shots on target
0 for · 0 against n 3
8.5standard
3 for · 3.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
0 for · 0 against n 3
21.5standard
12 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
1 for · 1.33 against n 3
3.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sierra Leone v Congo DR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sierra LeoneLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Congo DRWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Sierra Leone 0 · 0 draws · Congo DR 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-09-27 Congo DR 3–0 Sierra Leone
Goals per game
Sierra Leone scored1
Congo DR scored1.2
Sierra Leone conceded0.8
Congo DR conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sierra Leone v Congo DR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sierra Leone v Congo DR is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Sierra Leone and Congo DR?
In their last 1 meetings, Sierra Leone won 0, Congo DR won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sierra Leone and Congo DR?
Recent form — Sierra Leone 2W 1D 2L; Congo DR 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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