Somalia v Ghana prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Under 2.5 goals the free pick for Somalia v Ghana, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.
The match
Somalia host Ghana in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Monday 16 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Somalia are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Ghana are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Somalia have failed to score in their last six matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Somalia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in six of Somalia’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Somalia have no wins, no draws and seven defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.14 and conceding 2.43.
Five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Ghana’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Ghana have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.89.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Accra Sports Stadium
- Model coverage: 146 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Somalia 0W 0D 5L · Ghana 2W 1D 2L
Somalia v Ghana (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Somalia for / against | Line | Ghana for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 1.33 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 4 for · 9.67 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 0.67 for · 3.17 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.33 for · 8 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Somalia v Ghana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Elo Ratings Before Kick-Off
- Somalia: Elo rating 1220.
- Ghana: Elo rating 1348, falling over the last five rated matches.
Ghana are rated 128 points higher.
Ratings come from match results only and are taken before kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Somalia v Ghana?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Somalia v Ghana is Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the recent form of Somalia and Ghana?
- Recent form — Somalia 0W 0D 5L; Ghana 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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