SudanSenegal

Sudan v Senegal prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Sudan v Senegal, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sudan host Senegal in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Monday 16 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Senegal to win.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in three of Sudan’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%).

Senegal are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Sudan, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Four of Sudan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). At home, Sudan have one win, four draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 0.50.

11 of Senegal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in six of Senegal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Senegal have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Senegal the stronger side, 437 rating points above Sudan (Senegal 1800, Sudan 1363, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 January 2026, finished Senegal 3–1 Sudan.

Team news

Predicted Sudan XI (4-4-2): M. Elneel, B. Khamis, M. Erneq, M. Karshoum, S. Barglan, W. Khedr, M. Abdelrahman, A. Abdalla, S. Alhassan, M. Eisa, A. Nooh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered.

Predicted Senegal XI (4-4-2): M. Diaw, M. Niakhaté, K. Diatta, E. Diouf, I. Jakobs, I. Gueye, P. Gueye, L. Camara, H. Diarra, S. Mané, N. Jackson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Sudan 0 · draws 1 · Senegal 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sudan 1W 0D 4L · Senegal 1W 0D 4L

Sudan v Senegal (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.71 / 6.67
Corners
against 3.86 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
1.14 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 3.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2 / 1.83
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.67 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSudan for / againstLineSenegal for / against
Goals scored
0.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
1.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
6.67 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
5.29 for · 7.57 against n 7
19.5standard
15.83 for · 8.33 against n 6
Shots on target
1.14 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
5.57 for · 9.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.67 for · 10.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.83 for · 1.67 against n 6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sudan v Senegal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SudanLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
SenegalLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Sudan 0 · 1 draw · Senegal 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Senegal 3–1 Sudan
  • 2025-09-05 Senegal 2–0 Sudan
  • 2025-03-22 Sudan 0–0 Senegal
  • 2018-10-16 Sudan 0–1 Senegal
  • 2018-10-13 Senegal 3–0 Sudan
Goals per game
Sudan scored0.4
Senegal scored2
Sudan conceded1.8
Senegal conceded2.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sudan v Senegal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sudan v Senegal is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Sudan and Senegal?
In their last 5 meetings, Sudan won 0, Senegal won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sudan and Senegal?
Recent form — Sudan 1W 0D 4L; Senegal 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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