TanzaniaNigeria

Tanzania v Nigeria prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Tanzania v Nigeria, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tue, 17 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tanzania host Nigeria in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Tuesday 17 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Nigeria, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Tanzania are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Nigeria are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Nigeria have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in five of Tanzania’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Tanzania have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 0.83.

Seven of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Nigeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Nigeria have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.50.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tanzania the stronger side, 49 rating points above Nigeria (Tanzania 1639, Nigeria 1590, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 December 2025, finished Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Tanzania 0 · draws 0 · Nigeria 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tanzania 0W 2D 3L · Nigeria 3W 2D 0L

Tanzania v Nigeria (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
1.83 / 4.4
Corners
against 3.17 / 3.2 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
1.17 / 7.2
Shots on target
against 3.83 / 1.2 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.5 / 2.4
Cards
against 2 / 1.6 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 January 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTanzania for / againstLineNigeria for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
1.83 for · 3.17 against n 6
9.5standard
4.4 for · 3.2 against n 5
Shots
5.17 for · 8.83 against n 6
19.5standard
16.8 for · 6.6 against n 5
Shots on target
1.17 for · 3.83 against n 6
8.5standard
7.2 for · 1.2 against n 5
Fouls committed
8.5 for · 10.83 against n 6
21.5standard
18.2 for · 12.8 against n 5
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2 against n 6
3.5standard
2.4 for · 1.6 against n 5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tanzania v Nigeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TanzaniaLLDDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NigeriaWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Tanzania 0 · 0 draws · Nigeria 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-23 Nigeria 2–1 Tanzania
Goals per game
Tanzania scored0.6
Nigeria scored1.8
Tanzania conceded1.2
Nigeria conceded0.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Tanzania v Nigeria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tanzania v Nigeria is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tanzania and Nigeria?
In their last 1 meetings, Tanzania won 0, Nigeria won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tanzania and Nigeria?
Recent form — Tanzania 0W 2D 3L; Nigeria 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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