TogoAlgeria

Togo v Algeria prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away team goals — Away under 1 5 the free pick for Togo v Algeria, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away team goals — Away under 1 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away team goals — Away under 1 5 in the last 90 days, 72.1% of 810 landed (95% range 68.9–75.1%); it had given them 74.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Togo host Algeria in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Sunday 15 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Algeria team goals — Away under 1 5, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Togo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Togo’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Togo have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.75.

10 of Algeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Algeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Algeria have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.14.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Algeria the stronger side, 282 rating points above Togo (Algeria 1868, Togo 1585, after at least 18 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Algeria are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Togo, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2024, finished Togo 0–1 Algeria.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Togo 0 · draws 0 · Algeria 4 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Togo 1W 1D 3L · Algeria 1W 1D 3L

Togo v Algeria (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
0 / 3.29
Corners
against 0 / 3.43 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
0 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 0 / 4 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
0.67 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.67 / 1.71 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTogo for / againstLineAlgeria for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
0 for · 0 against n 3
9.5standard
3.29 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
0 for · 0 against n 3
19.5standard
10.43 for · 10.71 against n 7
Shots on target
0 for · 0 against n 3
8.5standard
3.71 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
0 for · 0 against n 3
21.5standard
13 for · 12.43 against n 7
Cards shown
0.67 for · 1.67 against n 3
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Togo v Algeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TogoLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
AlgeriaLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Togo 0 · 0 draws · Algeria 4 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2024-10-14 Togo 0–1 Algeria
  • 2024-10-10 Algeria 5–1 Togo
  • 2018-11-18 Togo 1–4 Algeria
  • 2017-06-11 Algeria 1–0 Togo
Goals per game
Togo scored0.2
Algeria scored1
Togo conceded1
Algeria conceded2.2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Togo v Algeria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Togo v Algeria is Away team goals — Away under 1 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Togo and Algeria?
In their last 4 meetings, Togo won 0, Algeria won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Togo and Algeria?
Recent form — Togo 1W 1D 3L; Algeria 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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