Zambia v Burundi prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Zambia v Burundi, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.
The match
Zambia host Burundi in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Wednesday 11 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Zambia to win.
The key numbers
Three of Zambia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).
Zambia are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Burundi have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Burundi have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in three of Zambia’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). At home, Zambia have two wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 0.89 points per game, scoring 0.44 and conceding 1.11.
Five of Burundi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Burundi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Burundi have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.88.
Zambia (first) and Burundi (fourth) are nine points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Zambia the stronger side, 438 rating points above Burundi (Zambia 1771, Burundi 1333, after at least 16 rated matches each).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Zambia 1W 2D 2L · Burundi 1W 0D 4L
Zambia v Burundi (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Zambia for / against | Line | Burundi for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots | 5.67 for · 8.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 1 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 9.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 0 for · 0 against n 3 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.67 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.67 for · 2 against n 3 Last 5 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Zambia v Burundi — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Zambia v Burundi?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Zambia v Burundi is Home win.
- What is the recent form of Zambia and Burundi?
- Recent form — Zambia 1W 2D 2L; Burundi 1W 0D 4L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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