ZimbabweEquatorial Guinea

Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea prediction

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · · National Sports Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Mon, 16 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.7% of 1766 landed (95% range 74.7–78.6%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Predicted on 8 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Zimbabwe host Equatorial Guinea in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on Monday 16 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Zimbabwe or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Zimbabwe are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions. Equatorial Guinea are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Zimbabwe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Zimbabwe’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Zimbabwe have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14.

Six of Equatorial Guinea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Equatorial Guinea’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Equatorial Guinea have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.83.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Zimbabwe the stronger side, 18 rating points above Equatorial Guinea (Zimbabwe 1523, Equatorial Guinea 1506, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Zimbabwe XI (4-4-2): W. Arubi, J. Takwara, D. Lunga, M. Garananga, B. Galloway, M. Nakamba, J. Fabisch, P. Dube, B. Antonio, M. Bonne, T. Chirewa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Equatorial Guinea XI (4-4-2): J. Owono, E. Obiang, S. Coco, M. Anieboh, C. Akapo, O. Mascarell, P. Ganet, J. Machín, Á. Balboa, L. Zúñiga, E. Nsue — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · National Sports Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Zimbabwe 0W 2D 3L · Equatorial Guinea 0W 1D 4L

Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea (Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.67 / 2
Corners
against 5 / 3.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2 / 1.4
Shots on target
against 4.83 / 2.6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.67 / 2.6
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.8 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 December 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameZimbabwe for / againstLineEquatorial Guinea for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
2.67 for · 5 against n 6
9.5standard
2 for · 3.4 against n 5
Shots
6.83 for · 15 against n 6
19.5standard
5.8 for · 9 against n 5
Shots on target
2 for · 4.83 against n 6
8.5standard
1.4 for · 2.6 against n 5
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 9.5 against n 6
21.5standard
7.8 for · 8.2 against n 5
Cards shown
2.67 for · 2.5 against n 6
3.5standard
2.6 for · 2.8 against n 5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ZimbabweDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Equatorial GuineaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Zimbabwe scored0.8
Equatorial Guinea scored0.6
Zimbabwe conceded1.4
Equatorial Guinea conceded1.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 182 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Zimbabwe v Equatorial Guinea is Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of Zimbabwe and Equatorial Guinea?
Recent form — Zimbabwe 0W 2D 3L; Equatorial Guinea 0W 1D 4L.

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