LASK v Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Bundesliga – Austria · · Raiffeisen Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for LASK v Red Bull Salzburg, Bundesliga – Austria on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

LASK host Red Bull Salzburg in the Bundesliga – Austria on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is LASK or Red Bull Salzburg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Red Bull Salzburg have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in seven of LASK’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, LASK have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.57. LASK have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). LASK have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Eight of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Red Bull Salzburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Red Bull Salzburg have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 0.71. Red Bull Salzburg have scored 21 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

LASK (third) and Red Bull Salzburg (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Red Bull Salzburg the stronger side, 28 rating points above LASK (Red Bull Salzburg 1822, LASK 1794, after at least 301 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished LASK 2–1 Red Bull Salzburg.

Team news

Predicted LASK XI (5-3-2): L. Jungwirth, X. Mbuyamba, A. Andrade, Alemão, M. Freckleton, D. Elfadli, S. Horvath, M. Bogarde, G. Bello, C. Lang, M. Usor — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Andrade (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Samuel Adeniran (4.4 per match over nine appearances, seven goals and one assist) have been LASK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for LASK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Andrade averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 2034 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Samuel Adeniran averages 4.0 shots per 90 over 609 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Red Bull Salzburg XI (4-2-3-1): C. Zawieschitzky, K. Boma, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, V. Zabransky, A. Barry, B. Mazurek, S. Kitano, E. Baidoo, Y. Vertessen, H. Tabaković — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bartosz Mazurek (5.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and three assists) and Jesper Lindstrøm (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Red Bull Salzburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Red Bull Salzburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bartosz Mazurek averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 746 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga – Austria · Raiffeisen Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): LASK 3 · draws 0 · Red Bull Salzburg 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: LASK 1W 1D 3L · Red Bull Salzburg 3W 1D 1L

LASK v Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga – Austria): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLASK for / againstLineRed Bull Salzburg for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5our book
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
18 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
LASK
LASK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Kane n 67.7
3.92/0
3.92/0
—
M. Bogarde n 872.9
1.74/3
1.56/3
—
A. Schopf n 838.9
1.74/2
1.73/1
—
F. Flecker n 835.8
1.63/2
1.32/2
—
S. Adeniran n 867.6
1.53/2
0.21/0
—
LASK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kane n 67.7
3.92/0
3.92/0
S. Adeniran n 867.6
3.36/4
1.84/4
S. Kalajdzic n 854.9
2.76/2
13/1
C. Lang n 850.5
2.58/2
1.35/1
M. Usor n 872.3
2.37/5
0.95/1
LASK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Flecker n 835.8
0.92/1
0.62/0
C. Lang n 850.5
0.93/1
0.21/0
S. Adeniran n 867.6
0.83/2
0.21/0
S. Kalajdzic n 854.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
Y. Dibango n 848.8
00/0
0.71/1
LASK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Kane n 67.7
3.92/0
M. Bogarde n 872.9
2.36/5
G. Bello n 882.3
2.17/4
Alemão n 880.9
2.17/6
Y. Dibango n 848.8
2.16/3
LASK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lukas Jungwirth n 890
25/2
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
U. Tohumcu n 851.1
25/2
2.46/3
—
H. Tabaković n 868.4
1.86/3
1.86/4
—
S. Kitano n 857
1.65/1
0.42/0
—
K. Konaté n 848.8
1.65/2
1.64/2
—
A. Barry n 884.3
1.56/4
1.15/2
—
Red Bull Salzburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Konaté n 848.8
4.66/5
2.15/2
Aboubacar Camara n 736
3.65/3
2.13/3
J. Lindstrøm n 842.8
3.25/3
1.12/1
Y. Vertessen n 854.1
3.16/5
0.84/0
Gaoussou Diakite n 852.9
2.85/4
1.55/2
Red Bull Salzburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Konaté n 848.8
0.94/0
00/0
Aboubacar Camara n 736
0.41/0
0.41/0
S. Kitano n 857
00/0
0.63/0
J. Lindstrøm n 842.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Mazurek n 875.9
0.11/0
0.42/1
Red Bull Salzburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Mazurek n 875.9
3.66/5
A. Barry n 884.3
3.28/6
J. Lindstrøm n 842.8
2.63/2
John Mellberg n 840.8
2.55/3
N. Veratschnig n 882.8
2.26/4
Red Bull Salzburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Früchtl n 890
3.57/6
Christian Zawieschitzky n 890
25/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind LASK v Red Bull Salzburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LASKLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Red Bull SalzburgWWDLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
LASK 3 · 0 draws · Red Bull Salzburg 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 LASK 2–1 Red Bull Salzburg
  • 2026-04-10 Red Bull Salzburg 2–3 LASK
  • 2026-02-22 LASK 1–5 Red Bull Salzburg
  • 2025-08-23 Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 LASK
  • 2024-11-23 Red Bull Salzburg 1–2 LASK
  • 2024-08-17 LASK 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg
League standing · 2026/27
LASK#3 pos19 pts9 pl+14 GD
Red Bull Salzburg#2 pos21 pts9 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
LASK scored2.56
Red Bull Salzburg scored2.33
LASK conceded1
Red Bull Salzburg conceded0.44

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win LASK v Red Bull Salzburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for LASK v Red Bull Salzburg is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between LASK and Red Bull Salzburg?
In their last 6 meetings, LASK won 3, Red Bull Salzburg won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of LASK and Red Bull Salzburg?
Recent form — LASK 1W 1D 3L; Red Bull Salzburg 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →