Sturm Graz v Grazer AK result

Full-time · Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK

Bundesliga – Austria · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:00 BST · Merkur-Arena

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK — Sturm Graz won this Bundesliga – Austria match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.28 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sturm Graz beat Grazer AK 6–1 at Merkur-Arena in the Bundesliga – Austria on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

Sturm Graz led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Grazer AK: C. Cvetko (10’, assisted by Y. Oberleitner); Sturm Graz: Luca Weinhandl (37’, assisted by Valmir Matoshi), Jürgen Heil (39’, assisted by L. Balbo), Oumar Diakité (41’; 49’, assisted by Simon Seidl; 51’, assisted by Simon Seidl) and Jon Stankovic (75’, assisted by Simon Seidl).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jürgen Heil’s goal on 39 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sturm Graz 3.63, Grazer AK 0.61, from 23 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Sturm Graz: Oumar Diakité (52’) and Julian Halwachs (82’); Grazer AK: Mark Große (48’) and Alexander Hofleitner (53’).

What it changes

Sturm Graz stay fourth after this result (nine league matches played).

Grazer AK move down from fifth to eighth (nine league matches played).

Sturm Graz’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 9, across six matches. Grazer AK are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Simon Seidl (Sturm Graz) 12.5, Oumar Diakité (Sturm Graz) 11.5 and Jon Stankovic (Sturm Graz) 11.0 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Sturm Graz next host Marseille on 22 October 2026.

Grazer AK next travel to WSG Wattens on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sturm Graz: Sturm Graz v Marseille, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Grazer AK: WSG Wattens v Grazer AK, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK · Bundesliga – Austria
Venue: Merkur-Arena · Graz
Referee: Julian Weinberger
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Sturm Graz 4 · draws 0 · Grazer AK 0 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Sturm Graz 2W 1D 2L · Grazer AK 1W 3D 1L

Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK (Bundesliga – Austria): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.75 / 3.88

Corners

against 5.75 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sturm Graz for / against	Line	Grazer AK for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 18 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Julian Weinberger.

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Oumar Diakité n 8	34	3.3 4/3	1.3 3/1	Alexander Hofleitner
F. Rózga n 3	27.3	2.2 1/1	4.4 2/2	—
N. Weiper n 8	31.6	2.1 5/1	0.4 1/0	—
Luca Weinhandl n 8	80	2 7/3	1.8 8/3	—
B. Beganović n 8	38.9	2 4/2	1.4 4/1	—

Sturm Graz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Rózga n 3	27.3	2.2 2/0	0 0/0
Axel Kayombo n 8	37.1	2.1 4/2	0 0/0
N. Weiper n 8	31.6	2.1 4/2	0.7 1/1
Oumar Diakité n 8	34	2 3/2	1.3 2/2
S. Włodarczyk n 8	51.3	1.8 5/2	0.9 2/1

Sturm Graz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Oumar Diakité n 8	34	1 2/1	0 0/0
N. Weiper n 8	31.6	0.7 1/1	0 0/0
Simon Seidl n 8	66.4	0 0/0	0.5 3/0
E. Soglo n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Seedy Jatta n 8	60	0.4 2/0	0 0/0

Sturm Graz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Rózga n 3	27.3	3.3 2/1
E. Soglo n 8	69.9	3.2 8/6
A. Malic n 8	59.5	3 7/5
J. Heil n 8	81	2.9 8/6
Luca Weinhandl n 8	80	2.5 6/5

Sturm Graz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Helac n 6	90	3.7 5/5
Daniil Khudyakov n 8	91	3.1 7/5

Grazer AK

Grazer AK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Maderner n 8	39.1	4.6 6/4	0.9 2/1	—
M. Gragger n 8	46.9	2.2 6/3	0.5 1/1	—
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	80	2 7/6	0.8 5/1	Oumar Diakité
Mark Große n 8	47.6	1.9 7/1	1.4 6/0	—
I. Guerti n 6	41	1.8 3/1	1.8 3/1	—

Grazer AK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Souleyman Mandey n 3	12.7	2.4 1/0	0 0/0
A. Smits n 5	24.8	2.2 3/0	0 0/0
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	80	2.1 7/5	1.1 6/2
Anderson n 8	72.8	1.9 6/3	0.6 4/0
Mark Große n 8	47.6	1.9 5/3	1.4 4/2

Grazer AK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Mark Große n 8	47.6	0.5 1/1	0.2 1/0
Christian Lichtenberger n 8	65	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Alexander Hofleitner n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
P. Michorl n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
L. Hermesh n 4	76	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Grazer AK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Oberleitner n 8	73.8	3.1 7/5
Anderson n 8	72.8	2.6 6/4
Christian Lichtenberger n 8	65	2.4 5/4
M. Gragger n 8	46.9	2.4 6/2
B. Owusu n 8	89.1	2.3 7/5

Grazer AK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Stanković n 8	90	3.6 7/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sturm Graz		Grazer AK
55%	Possession	45%
3.63	Expected goals (xG)	0.61
23	Shots	12
10	Shots on target	3
9	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	5
15	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	2
5	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
320	Passes	259

Sturm Graz player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jon Stankovic	90	1	0	2	1	2	4	0	8
J. Heil	90	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
Paul-Friedrich Koller	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.2
A. Malic	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
V. Matoshi	90	0	1	2	1	2	1	0	7
Simon Seidl	90	0	3	5	0	7	0	0	9.1
Luca Weinhandl	72	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.1
A. Helac	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Oumar Diakité	60	3	0	6	4	0	0	Y	9.4
L. Balbo	59	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	6.8
Joshua Quarshie	59	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
Jacob Hödl	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Albert Vallci	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
S. Włodarczyk	30	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.6
Daniil Khudyakov	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Halwachs	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	5.9

Grazer AK player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Sollbauer	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	5.7
B. Owusu	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5.2
Y. Oberleitner	90	0	1	0	0	1	5	0	6
P. Michorl	90	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	6.2
Jacob Italiano	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	5.7
Alexander Hofleitner	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	6.3
C. Stanković	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Leon Klassen	76	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	5.3
C. Cvetko	76	1	0	3	1	0	1	0	6.8
Christian Lichtenberger	45	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6
Anderson	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Mark Große	45	0	0	2	1	0	1	Y	6.1
T. Trummer	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.4
Tobias Koch	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
Souleyman Mandey	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sturm Graz v Grazer AK — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sturm GrazWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Grazer AKLDWDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Sturm Graz 4 · 0 draws · Grazer AK 0 · 4 goals/game

2025-12-07 Sturm Graz 2–1 Grazer AK
2025-08-30 Grazer AK 0–3 Sturm Graz
2025-03-09 Grazer AK 1–2 Sturm Graz
2024-10-19 Sturm Graz 5–2 Grazer AK

League standing · 2026/27

Sturm Graz#4 pos17 pts9 pl+6 GD

Grazer AK#8 pos9 pts9 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

Sturm Graz scored1.78

Grazer AK scored0.78

Sturm Graz conceded1.11

Grazer AK conceded2.44

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sturm Graz v Grazer AK?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sturm Graz v Grazer AK was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK?: In their last 4 meetings, Sturm Graz won 4, Grazer AK won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sturm Graz and Grazer AK?: Recent form — Sturm Graz 2W 1D 2L; Grazer AK 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 19 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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