1. FC HeidenheimFSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · · Voith-Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Heidenheim · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FSV Mainz 05: 3.94 to 3.23 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

FSV Mainz 05 won 2–0 at Voith-Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 May. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FSV Mainz 05 led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Phillip Tietz (7’) and Nadiem Amiri (43’, assisted by Phillip Tietz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nadiem Amiri’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

Robert Hartmann, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Heidenheim: Eren Dinkçi (70’); FSV Mainz 05: Sheraldo Becker (70’).

What it changes

1. FC Heidenheim move down from 17th to 18th (34 league matches played). 1. FC Heidenheim have scored 41 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Heidenheim have conceded 72 goals, the most of the 19 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 stay 10th after this result (34 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phillip Tietz (FSV Mainz 05) 9.4, Nadiem Amiri (FSV Mainz 05) 8.3 and P. Mainka (1. FC Heidenheim) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

1. FC Heidenheim next host Hannover 96 on 8 November 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next host Bayern München on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Heidenheim: 1. FC Heidenheim v Hannover 96, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz
  • Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): 1. FC Heidenheim 2 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Heidenheim 3W 1D 1L · FSV Mainz 05 1W 1D 3L

1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.63 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.82 yellows
Referee · Robert Hartmann, Germany
22.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Heidenheim for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany — 2.82 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim Goalkeeper

1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ramaj32902880 min1053.3 /90682.1 /9000 /90
Frank Feller290180 min105 /9031.5 /9000 /90
1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ramaj n 890
2.88/4

1. FC Heidenheim Defensive

1. FC Heidenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Mainka34903060 min471.4 /90320.9 /90411.2 /902096.1 /90100.3 /9010 /90
J. Föhrenbach27862327 min441.7 /90311.2 /9080.3 /90913.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
M. Busch27701890 min351.7 /90311.5 /90110.5 /90633 /90190.9 /9040.2 /90
O. Traoré21691459 min241.5 /90150.9 /9020.1 /90633.9 /90191.2 /9020.1 /90
B. Gimber20721436 min352.2 /90130.8 /9070.4 /90945.9 /90271.7 /9060.4 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mainka n 890
0.54/0
0.63/1
D. Kohr
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Schöppner n 881.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
K. Sano
N. Dorsch n 879.9
1.45/3
15/2
K. Sano
A. Ibrahimović n 873.8
0.52/1
1.25/2
P. Nebel
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1. FC Heidenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
15/3
J. Schöppner n 881.9
1.56/3
N. Dorsch n 879.9
1.55/2
A. Ibrahimović n 873.8
2.15/3
J. Föhrenbach n 884.4
2.36/6
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1. FC Heidenheim Attacking

1. FC Heidenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Pieringer25641602 min40.2 /9010.1 /90291.6 /9080.4 /90120.7 /90160.9 /90
M. Honsak23531217 min20.1 /9010.1 /90221.6 /9080.6 /90110.8 /90151.1 /90
B. Zivzivadze19591119 min60.5 /9000 /90191.5 /90121 /9060.5 /90121 /90
S. Schimmer1941779 min50.6 /9010.1 /90192.2 /90101.2 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
S. Conteh1444609 min20.3 /9010.1 /9081.2 /9030.4 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
14/3
0.42/1
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schöppner n 881.9
0.41/1
0.31/1
N. Dorsch n 879.9
0.11/0
00/0
A. Ibrahimović n 873.8
1.55/3
0.82/2
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1. FC Heidenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Schöppner n 881.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
N. Dorsch n 879.9
00/0
0.11/0
A. Ibrahimović n 873.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Batz26902340 min813.1 /90321.2 /9010 /90
R. Zentner18851531 min563.3 /90201.2 /9010.1 /90
L. Rieß571357 min153.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Batz n 890
2.57/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
47/6

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. da Costa42863617 min631.6 /90411 /90190.5 /901704.2 /90270.7 /9030.1 /90
D. Kohr40843377 min742 /90651.7 /90210.6 /901885 /90641.7 /90160.4 /90
S. Bell22631392 min161 /90241.6 /90130.8 /901056.8 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90
A. Hanche-Olsen21671403 min151 /90261.7 /90151 /90946 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
N. Veratschnig2142890 min242.4 /90151.5 /9020.2 /90545.5 /90181.8 /9040.4 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
0.85/1
16/2
N. Dorsch
D. da Costa n 878.9
0.32/0
0.63/1
—
D. Kohr n 881.8
1.96/5
1.27/2
P. Mainka
P. Nebel n 882.6
14/2
16/1
A. Ibrahimović
Lee Jae-Sung n 869.5
15/1
0.63/1
—
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
1.65/3
D. da Costa n 878.9
1.46/2
D. Kohr n 881.8
1.55/3
P. Nebel n 882.6
1.86/4
Lee Jae-Sung n 869.5
1.15/2
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Sieb2635901 min20.2 /9000 /90212.1 /9080.8 /90121.2 /90101 /90
P. Tietz22861886 min40.2 /9010 /90422 /90241.1 /90201 /90130.6 /90
N. Weiper20541072 min20.2 /9000 /90272.3 /90151.3 /90100.8 /9060.5 /90
B. Hollerbach19611163 min20.2 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90171.3 /90
A. Nordin1453742 min00 /9000 /90141.7 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
D. da Costa n 878.9
0.32/0
00/0
D. Kohr n 881.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
P. Nebel n 882.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 869.5
0.83/1
0.53/0
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. da Costa n 878.9
00/0
00/0
D. Kohr n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 882.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 869.5
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC HeidenheimFSV Mainz 05
53%Possession47%
2.53Expected goals (xG)3.71
15Shots15
5Shots on target9
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box10
6Corners3
3Offsides1
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves5
428Passes389
81%Pass accuracy78%

1. FC Heidenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Frank Feller9000000108.7
P. Mainka9000210007.2
J. Föhrenbach9000001307
Hennes Behrens9000002206.3
J. Schöppner9000101406.7
B. Zivzivadze9000421207.5
E. Dinkçi73001110Y7
N. Dorsch7300001106.9
A. Ibrahimović6500101006.5
M. Busch4500000106.6
M. Pieringer4500102006.3
O. Traoré sub4500000206.9
C. Conteh sub4500001006.3
S. Schimmer sub2500110206.6
A. Beck sub1700001106.9
M. Honsak sub1700000106.9

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Batz9000000009.3
D. Kohr9000110306.9
K. Potulski9000220208.5
P. Nebel9000211106.3
K. Sano9000111107
P. Mwene9000001307.3
P. Tietz8411212106.9
S. Becker77002220Y6.9
S. Widmer6800000307.3
N. Amiri6810312208.3
S. Posch4500001006.9
D. da Costa sub4500000107.2
Lee Jae-Sung sub2200000206.7
A. Caci sub2200000006.6
L. Maloney sub1300000006.6
N. Weiper sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC HeidenheimWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05LDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
1. FC Heidenheim 2 · 1 draw · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-13 FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim
  • 2025-02-16 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-09-28 FSV Mainz 05 0–2 1. FC Heidenheim
  • 2024-05-05 FC Heidenheim 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-12-16 FSV Mainz 05 0–1 FC Heidenheim
League standing · 2025/26
1. FC Heidenheim#17 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD
FSV Mainz 05#10 pos40 pts34 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Heidenheim scored1.21
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.29
1. FC Heidenheim conceded2.12
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.56

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Heidenheim 3.23 xG from 15 shots, FSV Mainz 05 3.94 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paul Nebel 62' · 0.56 xGMarvin Pieringer 29' · 0.53 xGKacper Potulski 71' · 0.50 xGBudu Zivzivadze 79' · 0.47 xGStefan Schimmer 92' · 0.46 xGPhillip Tietz 11' · 0.43 xGNadiem Amiri 50' · 0.39 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 29' · 0.36 xGJan Schöppner 50' · 0.33 xGBudu Zivzivadze 78' · 0.32 xGBudu Zivzivadze 79' · 0.27 xGNadiem Amiri 34' · 0.12 xGKacper Potulski 52' · 0.09 xGEren Sami Dinkci 22' · 0.09 xGBudu Zivzivadze 66' · 0.08 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 61' · 0.08 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 13' · 0.07 xGSheraldo Becker 25' · 0.06 xGDominik Kohr 71' · 0.06 xGPatrick Mainka 75' · 0.06 xGPatrick Mainka 49' · 0.05 xGPaul Nebel 84' · 0.05 xGEren Sami Dinkci 40' · 0.04 xGKacper Potulski 15' · 0.04 xGEren Sami Dinkci 39' · 0.03 xGSheraldo Becker 66' · 0.02 xGKaishu Sano 62' · 0.02 xGSheraldo Becker 63' · 0.02 xGPhillip Tietz 6' · 0.95 xG · goalNadiem Amiri 42' · 0.63 xG · goal
1. FC Heidenheim (attacking right)FSV Mainz 05 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Heidenheim1503.23
FSV Mainz 051523.94

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.23 to 1.12. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 3.94 to 3.23. The widest gap was 2.23 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 71st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.92.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FSV Mainz 05 6 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 42 min
1. FC Heidenheim 3.23 xGFSV Mainz 05 3.94 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Heidenheim v FSV Mainz 05 was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Heidenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 5 meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Heidenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — 1. FC Heidenheim 3W 1D 1L; FSV Mainz 05 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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