FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München prediction

Bundesliga · · Mewa Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München, Bundesliga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 86.2% of 130 landed (95% range 79.2–91.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Bayern München to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 25 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). 14 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%).

Bayern München have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of FSV Mainz 05’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, FSV Mainz 05 have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 2.83. FSV Mainz 05 have scored 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Bayern München have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29. Bayern München have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FSV Mainz 05 have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 (eighth) and Bayern München (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 482 rating points above FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München 2039, FSV Mainz 05 1558, after at least 313 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FSV Mainz 05. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München.

Team news

Predicted FSV Mainz 05 XI (3-5-2): A. Schwolow, S. Posch, K. Potulski, D. da Costa, K. Sano, P. Mwene, N. Amiri, A. Caci, L. Jae-Sung, S. Becker, P. Tietz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Phillip Tietz (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals) and Anthony Caci (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been FSV Mainz 05’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FSV Mainz 05 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Phillip Tietz averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Anthony Caci averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): J. Urbig, J. Stanišić, J. Tah, D. Upamecano, N. Brown, T. Bischof, M. Olise, L. Karl, A. Pavlović, I. Saibari, H. Kane — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (10.4 per match over 12 appearances, 12 goals and six assists) and Harry Kane (7.5 per match over 12 appearances, 10 goals and seven assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1978 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 2041 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Mewa Arena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · Bayern München 4 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FSV Mainz 05 1W 0D 4L · Bayern München 3W 2D 0L

FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 3.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 8.5
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 9.75
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFSV Mainz 05 for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
3.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
8.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
23 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
9.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 8.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Schwolow690540 min183 /9071.2 /9000 /90
R. Zentner490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Schwolow n 690
34/4
R. Zentner n 881.8
2.86/3

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Potulski981728 min141.7 /90151.9 /9030.4 /90475.8 /90151.9 /9010.1 /90
D. da Costa964574 min142.2 /9091.4 /9030.5 /90294.5 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90
S. Posch890718 min151.9 /9081 /9010.1 /90374.6 /90131.6 /9010.1 /90
F. Gruber690540 min122 /9081.3 /9061 /90366 /90101.7 /9000 /90
S. Widmer527137 min32 /9010.7 /9000 /9053.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 888.1
0.64/1
1.97/6
—
P. Mwene n 884.6
0.84/2
1.25/1
—
P. Tietz n 883.1
1.85/4
1.15/1
—
S. Becker n 879.5
15/2
0.64/0
—
A. Caci n 869.9
1.85/2
0.85/0
—
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.1
13/3
P. Mwene n 884.6
1.76/4
P. Tietz n 883.1
0.11/0
S. Becker n 879.5
0.64/0
A. Caci n 869.9
3.17/5
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Tietz1083830 min91 /9000 /90303.3 /90161.7 /9070.8 /9040.4 /90
S. Becker1077766 min30.4 /9040.5 /90212.5 /90141.6 /90202.3 /9050.6 /90
R. Königsdörffer826206 min20.9 /9000 /90104.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9041.7 /90
B. Hollerbach22243 min12.1 /9000 /9024.2 /9012.1 /9000 /9012.1 /90
W. Bøving11515 min16 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Mwene n 884.6
0.95/2
0.32/0
P. Tietz n 883.1
37/6
1.57/4
S. Becker n 879.5
2.77/6
1.75/4
A. Caci n 869.9
0.83/2
0.52/1
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
P. Mwene n 884.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
P. Tietz n 883.1
0.74/1
00/0
S. Becker n 879.5
0.32/0
0.63/1
A. Caci n 869.9
0.52/1
0.53/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer789621 min142 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Urbig690540 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
1.95/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
24/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Stanišić1165718 min91.1 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90303.8 /9050.6 /9000 /90
A. Davies1160662 min121.6 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90516.9 /9020.3 /9000 /90
D. Upamecano1081810 min262.9 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90596.6 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90
J. Tah1080801 min111.2 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90323.6 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
N. Brown1064635 min101.4 /9000 /9010.1 /90233.3 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Kane n 884.5
0.54/0
0.54/0
—
M. Olise n 885.1
0.32/0
3.28/7
—
I. Saibari n 853.5
1.14/1
0.42/0
—
L. Díaz n 866.5
1.76/4
0.52/1
—
J. Stanišić n 868
0.73/1
0.83/1
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 884.5
0.43/0
M. Olise n 885.1
1.35/2
I. Saibari n 853.5
1.76/2
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/2
J. Stanišić n 868
0.84/1
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane1281973 min100.9 /9070.6 /90423.9 /90201.8 /90252.3 /90100.9 /90
M. Olise1281972 min121.1 /9060.6 /90444.1 /90302.8 /90474.4 /90363.3 /90
I. Saibari1250601 min30.4 /9030.4 /90253.7 /90101.5 /90131.9 /90131.9 /90
L. Díaz1172793 min50.6 /9010.1 /90202.3 /90151.7 /90192.2 /90171.9 /90
J. Kimmich1082816 min00 /9040.4 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90182 /9010.1 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 884.5
4.18/8
2.18/4
M. Olise n 885.1
4.18/8
2.98/6
I. Saibari n 853.5
4.67/7
1.95/3
L. Díaz n 866.5
2.27/3
1.97/2
J. Stanišić n 868
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 884.5
1.16/2
0.95/2
M. Olise n 885.1
1.25/3
0.75/0
I. Saibari n 853.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/1
0.21/0
J. Stanišić n 868
00/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FSV Mainz 05LWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FSV Mainz 05 1 · 1 draw · Bayern München 4 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München
  • 2025-12-14 Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2025-04-26 Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-12-14 FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern München
  • 2024-10-30 FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München
  • 2024-03-09 Bayern Munich 8–1 FSV Mainz 05
League standing · 2026/27
FSV Mainz 05#8 pos10 pts8 pl0 GD
Bayern München#1 pos17 pts7 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
FSV Mainz 05 scored2.13
Bayern München scored3.57
FSV Mainz 05 conceded2.13
Bayern München conceded0.86

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FSV Mainz 05 v Bayern München is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, Bayern München won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?
Recent form — FSV Mainz 05 1W 0D 4L; Bayern München 3W 2D 0L.

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