1. FC Köln1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · 1. FC Heidenheim · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim — 1. FC Heidenheim won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Heidenheim: 2.04 to 1.52 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 18, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1. FC Heidenheim won 3–1 at 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga on Sunday 10 May. 1. FC Köln have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. 1. FC Heidenheim have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

1. FC Heidenheim led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — 1. FC Heidenheim: J. Schöppner (8’, assisted by Arijon Ibrahimović; 72’) and Arijon Ibrahimović (28’); 1. FC Köln: Marius Bülter (10’, assisted by Tom Krauß).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Arijon Ibrahimović’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

Sven Jablonski, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (55’) and Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (89’); 1. FC Heidenheim: Eren Dinkçi (30’) and B. Zivzivadze (37’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln move down from 13th to 14th (33 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 48 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 58 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Heidenheim move up from 18th to 17th (33 league matches played). 1. FC Heidenheim have scored 41 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Heidenheim have conceded 70 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Köln are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. 1. FC Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Arijon Ibrahimović (1. FC Heidenheim) 12.7, J. Schöppner (1. FC Heidenheim) 11.7 and Marius Bülter (1. FC Köln) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last five meetings with 1. FC Heidenheim, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

1. FC Heidenheim next host Hannover 96 on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Heidenheim: 1. FC Heidenheim v Hannover 96, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga
  • Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 3 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L · 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 2D 1L

1. FC Köln 1–3 1. FC Heidenheim (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.6 yellows
Referee · Sven Jablonski, Germany
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLine1. FC Heidenheim for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5our book
2 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
9.88 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany — 2.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe32902880 min902.8 /90551.7 /9020.1 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
1.93/3

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lund32702224 min351.4 /90251 /9060.2 /901224.9 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
S. Sebulonsen31812516 min441.6 /90140.5 /9050.2 /901013.6 /90120.4 /9050.2 /90
C. Özkacar24711704 min301.6 /90231.2 /90130.7 /901015.3 /90100.5 /9020.1 /90
J. Schmied15761145 min120.9 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90413.2 /90141.1 /9040.3 /90
R. van den Berg13871128 min141.1 /90141.1 /90121 /90433.4 /90100.8 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.53/1
14/3
A. Ibrahimović
S. El Mala n 879.6
0.74/1
16/1
A. Ibrahimović
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
K. Lund n 872.1
0.52/1
1.47/2
P. Mainka
E. Martel n 883.3
1.55/4
2.26/4
—
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.64/1
S. El Mala n 879.6
0.73/2
K. Lund n 872.1
1.96/4
E. Martel n 883.3
26/4
S. Sebulonsen n 876.3
1.86/3
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache29631814 min80.4 /9050.2 /90432.1 /90241.2 /90311.5 /9090.4 /90
M. Bülter26581505 min30.2 /9030.2 /90291.7 /90130.8 /90231.4 /9030.2 /90
L. Waldschmidt1444611 min30.4 /9040.6 /90131.9 /9081.2 /90111.6 /9040.6 /90
F. Schenten24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
J. Kamiński34882994 min70.2 /9030.1 /90441.3 /90270.8 /90541.6 /90230.7 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
1.86/4
1.45/3
S. El Mala n 879.6
2.78/5
1.16/1
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 872.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
E. Martel n 883.3
0.86/0
0.43/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. El Mala n 879.6
0.64/0
0.11/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 872.1
00/0
0.21/0
E. Martel n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
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1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim Goalkeeper

1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ramaj32902880 min1053.3 /90682.1 /9000 /90
Frank Feller19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
1. FC Heidenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ramaj n 890
2.88/4

1. FC Heidenheim Defensive

1. FC Heidenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Mainka33902970 min451.4 /90300.9 /90381.2 /902036.2 /9090.3 /9010 /90
M. Busch27701890 min351.7 /90311.5 /90110.5 /90633 /90190.9 /9040.2 /90
J. Föhrenbach26862237 min411.6 /90271.1 /9080.3 /90853.4 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
B. Gimber20721436 min352.2 /90130.8 /9070.4 /90945.9 /90271.7 /9060.4 /90
O. Traoré20691383 min201.3 /90140.9 /9020.1 /90573.7 /90181.2 /9020.1 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mainka n 890
0.43/0
0.84/1
K. Lund
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Schöppner n 878.8
0.43/0
0.64/0
—
N. Dorsch n 879.9
1.76/4
0.85/1
—
A. Ibrahimović n 872.1
0.52/1
1.25/2
S. El Mala
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1. FC Heidenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
1.15/3
J. Schöppner n 878.8
1.36/2
N. Dorsch n 879.9
1.85/3
A. Ibrahimović n 872.1
1.75/2
M. Busch n 881.4
1.96/5
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1. FC Heidenheim Attacking

1. FC Heidenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Pieringer24631513 min40.2 /9010.1 /90261.5 /9070.4 /90120.7 /90150.9 /90
M. Honsak23531217 min20.1 /9010.1 /90221.6 /9080.6 /90110.8 /90151.1 /90
S. Schimmer1941779 min50.6 /9010.1 /90192.2 /90101.2 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
B. Zivzivadze18581036 min60.5 /9000 /90191.7 /90121 /9060.5 /90121 /90
S. Conteh1444609 min20.3 /9010.1 /9081.2 /9030.4 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
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1. FC Heidenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
1.15/3
0.42/1
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schöppner n 878.8
00/0
00/0
N. Dorsch n 879.9
0.11/0
00/0
A. Ibrahimović n 872.1
1.24/2
0.51/1
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1. FC Heidenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Heidenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Mainka n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Ramaj n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Schöppner n 878.8
00/0
0.32/0
N. Dorsch n 879.9
00/0
0.11/0
A. Ibrahimović n 872.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Köln1. FC Heidenheim
66%Possession34%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.36
18Shots11
7Shots on target5
4Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box11
6Corners4
0Offsides3
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves6
561Passes278
87%Pass accuracy74%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Schwäbe9000000006.9
S. Sebulonsen9000212106
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson90000030Y6.7
J. Kamiński9000000007
M. Bülter9010331007.2
S. El Mala90001101Y5
C. Özkacar8900000105.9
K. Lund8900001206.2
J. Schmied7100000007
L. Maina7100001007.2
T. Krauß5801001207.3
L. Waldschmidt sub3200320006.6
A. Castro-Montes sub1900101006.3
F. Kainz sub1900101006.3
D. Heintz sub800000006.6
Youssoupha Niang sub800000006.7

1. FC Heidenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Frank Feller9000000007.6
P. Mainka9000000207
J. Föhrenbach9000000307.2
Hennes Behrens9000002007
J. Schöppner9020321308.7
N. Dorsch9000001107.3
M. Pieringer8900310106.2
E. Dinkçi83001010Y7.3
B. Zivzivadze83000001Y6.3
O. Traoré7600000406.7
A. Ibrahimović7611223408.3
L. Stergiou sub1400000106.6
M. Honsak sub1400000006.3
L. Kerber sub1400000006.6
C. Conteh sub1400000006.3
S. Schimmer sub800000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnDWDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
1. FC HeidenheimDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
1. FC Köln 1 · 3 draws · 1. FC Heidenheim 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 1. FC Heidenheim 2–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-05-18 FC Heidenheim 4–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-01-13 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Heidenheim
  • 2019-04-07 FC Heidenheim 0–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2018-10-27 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Heidenheim
League standing · 2025/26
1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD
1. FC Heidenheim#17 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.44
1. FC Heidenheim scored1.21
1. FC Köln conceded1.85
1. FC Heidenheim conceded2.12

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.52 xG from 18 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2.04 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jan Schöppner 61' · 0.47 xGSaid El Mala 37' · 0.44 xGAlessio Castro-Montes 79' · 0.30 xGMarius Bülter 76' · 0.22 xGMarvin Pieringer 47' · 0.12 xGHennes Behrens 32' · 0.09 xGEren Sami Dinkci 21' · 0.08 xGMarius Bülter 24' · 0.08 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 67' · 0.06 xGMarvin Pieringer 85' · 0.06 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 73' · 0.06 xGBudu Zivzivadze 14' · 0.06 xGMarius Bülter 51' · 0.05 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 93' · 0.05 xGMarvin Pieringer 40' · 0.05 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 9' · 0.04 xGArijon Ibrahimovic 63' · 0.04 xGSaid El Mala 63' · 0.04 xGLinton Maina 9' · 0.02 xGFlorian Kainz 82' · 0.02 xGMarius Bülter 11' · 0.02 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 67' · 0.01 xGKristoffer Lund 25' · 0.01 xGJoël Schmied 24' · 0.01 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 94' · 0.01 xGJan Schöppner 7' · 0.49 xG · goalJan Schöppner 71' · 0.48 xG · goalArijon Ibrahimovic 27' · 0.09 xG · goalMarius Bülter 9' · 0.05 xG · goal
1. FC Köln (attacking right)1. FC Heidenheim (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Köln1811.52
1. FC Heidenheim1132.04

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: 1. FC Köln 0.68, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.86. At full time, 1. FC Heidenheim led on xG, 2.04 to 1.52. The widest gap was 1.13 xG to 1. FC Heidenheim, in the 71st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - 1. FC Heidenheim 7 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 9 minGoal - 1. FC Heidenheim 27 minGoal - 1. FC Heidenheim 71 min
1. FC Köln 1.52 xG1. FC Heidenheim 2.04 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v 1. FC Heidenheim was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Heidenheim?
In their last 5 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, 1. FC Heidenheim won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and 1. FC Heidenheim?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L; 1. FC Heidenheim 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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