1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 20:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · Bayer Leverkusen · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 31 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 529 of 822 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

1. FC Köln host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 14:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last five meetings with 1. FC Köln.

Form and the table

10 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, 1. FC Köln have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.29. 1. FC Köln have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1. FC Köln have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.75. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln (13th) and Bayer Leverkusen (sixth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 159 rating points above 1. FC Köln (Bayer Leverkusen 1567, 1. FC Köln 1408, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Tom Krauß (4.2 per match over 10 appearances) and Said El Mala (3.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tom Krauß averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 832 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Said El Mala averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 744 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.9 per match over 13 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.3 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1099 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1408 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · RheinEnergieStadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 0 · Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Köln 2W 2D 1L · Bayer Leverkusen 3W 0D 2L

1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 7.38

Corners

against 5.25 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 7.75

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	1. FC Köln for / against	Line	Bayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.88 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Schwäbe	10	90899 min	343.4 /90	121.2 /90	10.1 /90

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 8	89.9	3.9 6/6

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	10	90899 min	60.6 /90	151.5 /90	60.6 /90	464.6 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
L. Lochoshvili	8	87699 min	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	395 /90	91.2 /90	10.1 /90
A. Castro-Montes	8	64514 min	162.8 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90	284.9 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
B. Sosa	6	78466 min	122.3 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	244.6 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
S. Sebulonsen	6	63377 min	81.9 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	215 /90	41 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	89.9	0.4 3/0	1.3 6/3	—
M. Schwäbe n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	1.2 5/2	1.1 6/2	—
L. Maina n 8	76.3	0.6 3/1	1.9 6/4	—
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	58.1	1.5 5/3	0.4 1/1	—
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	3.3 6/5
L. Maina n 8	76.3	1.3 4/3
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	58.1	1.4 4/2
S. El Mala n 8	72.9	0.9 5/1
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Bülter	8	81644 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	152.1 /90	91.3 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90
R. Ache	5	53267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
T. Dallinga	4	42168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	73.8 /90	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
L. Waldschmidt	1	2222 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	14.1 /90	00 /90
M. El Mala	1	1717 min	15.3 /90	00 /90	15.3 /90	15.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	89.9	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
M. Schwäbe n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
L. Maina n 8	76.3	0.7 3/2	0.7 3/2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	58.1	1 5/0	0.8 4/0
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Krauß n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Maina n 8	76.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 8	58.1	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Flekken	10	90900 min	232.3 /90	121.2 /90	00 /90
J. Blaswich	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 8	90	2.5 6/6
J. Blaswich n 8	90	4.1 5/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Tapsoba	13	841096 min	141.1 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	483.9 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
F. Medina	13	71922 min	131.3 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90	323.1 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez	12	82982 min	121.1 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90	292.7 /90	121.1 /90	10.1 /90
J. Quansah	12	65779 min	141.6 /90	20.2 /90	40.5 /90	252.9 /90	121.4 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Vázquez	7	71496 min	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90	244.4 /90	91.6 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix García n 8	84.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0.4 2/1	—
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0.9 5/1	0.6 3/1	—
P. Schick n 8	74.6	0.9 4/1	0.9 6/0	—
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1.4 6/3	0.6 3/1	—
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	1.2 5/2
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	1 4/3
F. Medina n 8	78.1	1.4 7/2
P. Schick n 8	74.6	0.6 4/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1.3 4/3
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Schick	13	71919 min	111.1 /90	20.2 /90	424.1 /90	202 /90	151.5 /90	90.9 /90
N. Tella	7	42291 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.3 /90	61.9 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90
Christian Kofane	5	33163 min	31.7 /90	00 /90	105.5 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
M. Terrier	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.5 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90
Aleix García	13	871129 min	00 /90	50.4 /90	171.4 /90	50.4 /90	352.8 /90	20.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	1.6 5/4	0.1 1/0
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	1.1 4/2	0.6 2/1
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
P. Schick n 8	74.6	4.1 8/7	2.1 7/5
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1 6/1	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0.5 3/1
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
F. Medina n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Schick n 8	74.6	1.1 6/1	0.2 1/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC KölnWLDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Bayer LeverkusenWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

1. FC Köln 1 · 0 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-25 1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen
2025-12-13 Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Köln
2025-02-05 Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 1. FC Köln
2024-03-03 1. FC Köln 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
2023-10-08 Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC Köln
2023-05-05 Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1. FC Köln

League standing · 2026/27

1. FC Köln#13 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD

Bayer Leverkusen#6 pos13 pts8 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Köln scored1.13

Bayer Leverkusen scored2.25

1. FC Köln conceded1.5

Bayer Leverkusen conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen?: In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Bayer Leverkusen won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Bayer Leverkusen?: Recent form — 1. FC Köln 2W 2D 1L; Bayer Leverkusen 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.